Damien Bol
Prof in Political Behavior in Sciences Po Paris. Ex boom-bap rapper, I wear white kicks ALL THE TIME
www.damienbol.eu
- Reposted by Damien Bol❗ Help needed ❗ Please take our 5-minute survey about interpreting research graphs 📈 And please help us share this post with lots of people 🤗 Take the survey here: supsy.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_... Thank you!!
- Reposted by Damien BolNEW - Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - cup.org/49auQPf - @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social #OpenAccess
- Reposted by Damien BolWhy do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
- Reposted by Damien BolNot exactly a Xmas merrymaking post, but I wrote something on the changing environment for international academics in the Netherlands and how it has changed over the last 10 years: open.substack.com/pub/alexandr...
- Reposted by Damien Bol🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟 I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
- Reposted by Damien Bol🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years) We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald. ✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
- Reposted by Damien Bol📣📣📣 GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3M´s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package 📣📣📣 This does NOT happen everyday. THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n
- Super thread. Pour ceux qui veulent une quantification du vote pour les élections de 2024, on a écrit un papier là dessus pour les RFSP avec @jfdaoust.bsky.social shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-...
- Over the moon 😍. My paper "Renewing Democracy: How Exposure to Electoral Turnovers Reinforces Citizens’ Democratic Support" is accepted in World Politics. LINK: osf.io/preprints/os.... First paper fully conceived since my second child was born 4 years ago. For those who know, big milestone. 🧵 1/
- The argument: I test whether elections experienced by people over their lifetime can boost their support for democracy in the long run. And crucially: elections leading to government turnovers, because they showcase what democracy is about. 2/
- Data: I merged a range of international survey data (N=350,000) and trace the elections to which respondents have been exposed in their country since they were young. Descriptive statistics are interesting I guess 3/
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View full threadThis paper is personal. I wrote it on my own (no RA, no fund), and it grew out of my own experience as a teenager in Belgium in the 1990s. I also had the chance to cite my PhD supervisor, André-Paul Frognier, who isn’t in great health and was truly pivotal for me and my career. End/
- Reposted by Damien Bol📻 Great new podcast on political behaviour - the last episode features my @lsegovernment.bsky.social colleague Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social on whether campaigns matter, Mamdani’s victory and the Dutch elections - listen here ⬇️ linktr.ee/Politically....
- New WP on political violence in democracies with the fantastic @dianebolet.bsky.social and @bjarneck.bsky.social. Sadly very topical, but with some positive results osf.io/preprints/so... 1/
- We rely on latest recommendations (@seanjwestwood.bsky.social and colleagues) and survey citizen support for concrete violence forms against (hypothetical) politicians using a conjoint in France (very high polarization, think about US) and french-speaking Belgium (much much lower). 2/
- Similar to other studies using these types of survey questions, we find that people don't support the most extreme forms of violence (physical assault), but they do support "milder" forms like online insult. Though, overall support is rather low, no more than 10% support. 3/
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View full threadTake-aways: (i) support for violence against politicians is low (phew), (ii) largely unrelated to affective polarization, and (iii) we can reduce it with simple and scalable interventions. A paper that gives us some hope End/
- Reposted by Damien BolThe Political Behaviour Stream of the MSc in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social is welcoming applications for entry in 2026/27: www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse... Benefit from teaching and supervision from world-leading scholars, weekly research seminars & an active alumni network:
- Reposted by Damien Bol🚨 New LSE job in political science 🚨 We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy Please share! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
- Reposted by Damien BolFirst-time authors: Get the reviewer on your side in the first 3 pages. From there on, they either look for areas to improve or reasons to reject.
- Reposted by Damien BolLe CEVIPOF lance une collection de #notes dédiées à l'enquête #FracturesFrançaises, pour comprendre les transformations profondes du paysage politique et social FR. NOTE2 : Anne Muxel : La #génération est-elle encore un marqueur des fractures politiques françaises? www.sciencespo.fr/cevipof/site...
- Reposted by Damien Bol🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are? @simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions Thread 🧵1/10
- Reposted by Damien Bol🚨 new paper out w/ @simonchauchard.bsky.social in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social on the link between misinformation and religiosity- does religious belief cause people to endorse more misinformation? And if so, what can we do about it? thread below ⬇️
- Reposted by Damien BolNew WP thread! 🤓 Vietnam's solar panel exports boomed between 2018 and 2022. With my PhD student Meng Yu Ngov, Trang Thu Tran, and Gaurav Nayyar we look at how this industry success can be attributed to attracting FDI and importing parts and components, as well to Chinese subsidy spillovers.👇
- Reposted by Damien Bol#danslesmédias Analyse de la crise de confiance politique par @damienbol.bsky.social, enseignant-chercheur @cevipof.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social sur le plateau du 19/20 Paris IDF @francetv.bsky.social www.france.tv/france-3/par... cc @scpo-research.bsky.social
- Thanks for the SO. We tried estimate the effect of having a 4th candidate (as a separate RDD), but there were too few treated districts. That said, as France is becoming increasingly fragmented, there will be more and more data points
- A recent paper by @damienbol.bsky.social and @riaivandic.bsky.social provides some inspiration: in France's two-round system, the top two parties go through to the second round, but so do any others that pass a given threshold (currently receiving votes from 12.5% of registered voters)
- Reposted by Damien Bol📣 We are hiring! 👇 This PhD position is part of a research project that examines how growing income inequality can reshape the way democracy functions by influencing both political discourse and public opinion. More info here: www.academictransfer.com/en/jobs/3542...
- Très heureux de voir notre article publié dans la Revue Française de Science Politique, en collaboration avec @jfdaoust.bsky.social, toujours aussi brillant ✨ Après avoir beaucoup travaillé sur le vote utile, aussi appelé vote stratégique, nous testons nos méthodes sur le cas français. 1/
- On entend souvent que le scrutin à deux tours rend le vote stratégique anodin en 🇫🇷 : on vote avec son cœur au 1er tour, avec sa tête au 2nd. Mais cela suppose seulement 2 grands blocs. Ce n’est plus le cas. Résultat : même au 1er tour, voter utile est crucial (cf. élimination de Jospin en 2002). 2/
- Avec les enquêtes CEVIPOF, nous quantifions le vote stratégique aux législatives 2024. 👉 Il y en a plus au 2nd tour, quand le choix est restreint. 👉 Mais même au 1er tour, 7-8% ont voté utile plutôt que pour leur parti préféré. C’est comparable aux scrutins à un tour britanniques ou canadiens. 3/
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View full threadLe vote stratégique existe donc bel et bien en 🇫🇷, même au 1er tour. Cela soulève la question démocratique des inégalités de représentation. A lire ici : shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-... @cevipof.bsky.social @edr-sciencespo.bsky.social Fin/
- Reposted by Damien BolThe European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference! 📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast 🗓️ June 18–20, 2026 📍 ICC Belfast 📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025 🧵
- Reposted by Damien Bol
- Kicking off the @sciencespo.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk @iast.fr workshop in political economy. This year at beautiful Nuffield College in Oxford
- Reposted by Damien BolHow are the classic social identities (urban-rural, education, etc. ) and perceptions about those groups related to a persons own European and national identity? Read it here (in fantastic company) in print
- And (5) "Who are the Cosmopolitans? How Perceived Social Sorting and Social Identities Relate to European and National Identities" by Ronja Sczepanski @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
- We’ve water and AC in the room. And great presentations ! Do join us
- We are kicking off the EPIC pre-EPSA Conference at UC3M with @damienbol.bsky.social
- Big crowd for the presentation of @ariray.bsky.social
- We continue with Oliver Rittmann on electoral reform in Germany
- Reposted by Damien BolVery happy to co-organize this wonderful workshop with an awesome colleague such as @damienbol.bsky.social thanks to the generosity of UC3M
- 🚨EPSA alert 🚨 @priera.bsky.social and I are organizing a pre-EPSA conference on political institutions on Wed 25 June. Same location as EPSA - Room 0.A.04. We've an amazing line-up of fantastic junior colleagues matched with more senior discussants. All EPSA attendees can attend and are welcome
- 🚨EPSA alert 🚨 @priera.bsky.social and I are organizing a pre-EPSA conference on political institutions on Wed 25 June. Same location as EPSA - Room 0.A.04. We've an amazing line-up of fantastic junior colleagues matched with more senior discussants. All EPSA attendees can attend and are welcome
- Honored to have been invited to my former work place to participate in stimulating discussions about democratic innovations. The basis of my intervention was our OA paper on public opinion about deliberative democracy (with @jbpilet.bsky.social). ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
- How about this for a panel at our Centre for British Democracy conference this week. Anne Phillips(!), @damienbol.bsky.social @stevenklein.bsky.social and Simon Caney (just out of shot). Big hitters, great discussion and such a pleasure to chair.
- Filip is a gem. A rare combination of intellectual sharpness and personal sweetness. Political science is lucky to have him
- Had a great time at Sciences Po, discussing @damienbol.bsky.social's impressive habilitation research, and now heading to Barcelona for a presentation at @transdem.bsky.social, equipped with an excellent read by @celytadeas.bsky.social
- Today, I defended my habilitation in Paris. This is one for these peculiar national survivances that exist in many countries, but that we hardly talk about in globalized academia. Going through these hoops is nonetheless an important part of any academic career for many of us
- Big thank you to @vinarceneaux.bsky.social for supervising this, and @filipkostelka.bsky.social @rdassonneville.bsky.social @sofiavasilopoulou.bsky.social @nicolassauger.bsky.social and Livia Schubiger for sitting in my jury. Thanks for making this a pleasant experience. @cevipof.bsky.social
- Another paper on similar topic with similar results: LLMs are good at positioning parties on major issues (here: left-right scale). Paper worth reading by great scholars ! doi.org/10.1017/pan....
- 🚨 New paper🚨 on how AI can help us doing research (or not) with my office mate @phbono.bsky.social We test whether LLMs (ChatGPT, MistralAI) can be used to ideologically position parties in real time. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/3
- Reposted by Damien BolI have been waiting for such a paper. Excellent work!
- 🚨 New paper🚨 on how AI can help us doing research (or not) with my office mate @phbono.bsky.social We test whether LLMs (ChatGPT, MistralAI) can be used to ideologically position parties in real time. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/3
- Reposted by Damien Bol#vendredilecture #ChatGPT @damienbol.bsky.social @phbono.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social cc @sciencespo.bsky.social @scpo-research.bsky.social
- 🚨 New paper🚨 on how AI can help us doing research (or not) with my office mate @phbono.bsky.social We test whether LLMs (ChatGPT, MistralAI) can be used to ideologically position parties in real time. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/3
- 🚨 New paper🚨 on how AI can help us doing research (or not) with my office mate @phbono.bsky.social We test whether LLMs (ChatGPT, MistralAI) can be used to ideologically position parties in real time. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/3
- We asked LLMs and experts to position French parties during the 2024 EU campaign. The two are close for "major" dimensions and issues (left-right, immigration, EU integration). Not so much for specific ones (free market, refugees, rural/urban) or party characteristics like internal division. 2/3
- Conclusion: LLMs can be used for real-time positioning of parties, including new parties, on major dimensions, but we need to be cautious about more specific issues and party characteristics. We thus still need expert surveys, also because they LLMs. 3/3
- Side note: submitted to R&P on Aug 12, so 8 months to publication. A bit slower than I'd hoped, but hey, publishing is hard on everyone these days. Grateful it's out!