Jesper Asring Hansen
Associate professor @AalborgUni. Public administration and policing. vbn.aau.dk/da/persons/jajh/
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenFor absolutely no reason, let me remind people of this banger of a paper by @caroartc.bsky.social doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenCan large language models stand in for human participants? Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. THREAD 🧵
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenWhy did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes? doi.org/10.1017/S153... @kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenReminder that, as of the latest reports, Liam Ramos is still in prison in Texas - now for 5 days. His parents are legal asylum seekers with no criminal record.
- I'm hiring two three-year postdocs and an RA for my project on how police presence affects perceived safety. I'm looking for candidates who can contribute to the theoretical development and who have strong expertise in causal inference. Deadline: March 1. www.stillinger.aau.dk/videnskabeli...
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenI love this project. It's very smart and has very important implications. Do make sure to read it if you haven't already:
- 📄 New WP version out: revised text, tightened argument, and new analysis. The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social) Grateful for the helpful comments and presentation opportunities. Further feedback welcome! 🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
- Reposted by Jesper Asring Hansen📄 New WP version out: revised text, tightened argument, and new analysis. The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social) Grateful for the helpful comments and presentation opportunities. Further feedback welcome! 🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenIf there's one empirical insight I'd want everyone to understand about American politics, it's this: America's problems are solved problems. Just not here. What would change if the US simply matched the average of 31 peer democracies? Not Denmark or Norway. Just the middle of the pack. 🧵
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenA new PNAS paper finds that polarization increased immediately after the release of Lady Gaga’s “Just Dance” and the advent of the late-2000s electro-pop era, which both appeared around the same year, 2008.
- A new PNAS paper finds that polarization increased immediately after the invention of smartphones and the advent of social media, which both appeared around the same year, 2008. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenOur new study provides rare causal evidence about NYC’s speed camera program. We find large reductions in collisions (30%) and injuries (16%) near intersections with cameras. www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1... @astagoff.bsky.social ky.social @brendenbeck.bsky.social nbeck.bsky.social 🧪
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenNew paper alert! "Public Speakers With Nonnative Accents Garner Less Engagement" -- now out in Psych Science! This is my first graduate student's first first-author paper (and it was her first-year project). Short THREAD on the results:
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenPolitical communication research overwhelmingly relies on text. But parliamentary speech is multimodal! In our new @psrm.bsky.social article, Mathias Rask and I show that legislators also signal partisan conflict nonverbally— through changes in vocal pitch during floor speeches. 🧵 1/11 #polisky
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenAfter becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts www.nber.org/papers/w34524 via @florianederer.bsky.social
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenNEW ARTICLE: @palesl.bsky.social, Vesa Koskimaa and I have an letter out in JOP, "Politicians talk less about the future as they age" doi.org/10.1086/739406 (1/10)
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring Hansen📄 New WP version out - full overhaul! The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social ) Comments welcome! 🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenMy response to the NYT’s “moderate to win” argument: The data shows the strategy is tapped out. Being seen as moderate by voters doesn’t boost votes, replacing every progressive with moderates would net 0 seats, and the graveyard of defeated D incumbents if full of moderates, not progressives.
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenHow common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenOur article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness. 🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenBBC International Editor Jeremy Bowen has confirmed that the entire Al Jazeera team in Gaza City has been killed.
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenThe annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand: $678M raised through those spam tactics $282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies. $11M to actual campaigns (1.6%) The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
- Reposted by Jesper Asring Hansen🧵Introducing the Trump Action Tracker website! Today I’m launching www.trumpactiontracker.info - a live, searchable list of authoritarian‑style actions from Trump’s second term (over 740 actions so far). 1/14
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring Hansen@robmickey.bsky.social & @dziblatt.bsky.social let me post the working paper Why doesn't police reform work? Because police depts can't credibly commit to their end of the bargain (doing more/better/riskier work in exchange for more $) www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/35o94...
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenLocal reactions to wolf attacks in Germany are not powerful enough to influence the election decisions of many voters www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenIf the GOP reconciliation bill passes, ICE gets through FY2029: - $45 billion for detention, on top of the current annual budget of $3.4 billion - $14.4 billion for transportation and removal, on top of the current annual budget of $750 million - $8 billion for hiring/retention - Billions more.
- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenThe Trump admin in a nutshell; in order to justify their own mistake, they’re going to release a violent felon with five deportations so he can testify against the guy with no criminal record they mistakenly deported. In other words, the story is always more important than the principle.
- The Trump admin has freed Jose Hernandez Reyes because he can testify against Abrego Garcia. Hernandez, who has been deported 5 times, has also been arrested for: —DUI w/ a handgun; —cocaine possession; —illegally transporting migrants; and —drunkenly firing a gun. Free link: wapo.st/40i4Ttt
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- Reposted by Jesper Asring HansenTo help researchers navigate social desirability bias, this study assesses commonly-used approaches and offers practical guidance on selecting the most suitable tools for different contexts, from Bursztyn, Haaland, Röver, and Roth nber.org/papers/w33920
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- New preprint w. @rsenninger.bsky.social Sharing evidence on immigration with parliamentary candidates, we find that politicians from extreme parties - especially those on the far right - select evidence that aligns with their party's priorities
