Political Science Research and Methods
Political Science Research and Methods: The journal of the European Political Science Association, edited by John Griffin, published by Cambridge University Press
- 🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion? ➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data? ➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies? ➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- Reposted by Political Science Research and MethodsNEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social - Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - cup.org/3NE1AsW #OpenAccess
- 🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty? ➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments. ➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments? ➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19? ➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️ How can we identify voting blocs when individual votes are not observed? ➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🏛️Do party leaders influence roll call voting in the US Congress? ➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 💰Do voters punish local politicians for raising taxes? ➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📺Why is propaganda in autocracies often blatantly false? ➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📝Inattentive respondents are a growing concern in online surveys. ➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📰How do scandals shape support for crypto rules? ➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️How stable is issue ownership over time? ➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🇪🇺How do coalition parties monitor EU policymaking without a seat at the table? ➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🪖What shapes attitudes toward wartime negotiation? 🇺🇦 ➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- ✍️Article co-authored by A. Getmansky, A. Grushetsky @nadiyakostyuk.bsky.social T. Sinmazdemir @austinlw.bsky.social & @zeitzoff.bsky.social
- ⚖️What motivates moderate candidates to run for office? ➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🧑🎓Can democracy promotion strengthen support for democracy in terrorism-affected regions? ➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- ✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech? ➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- ✍️Article co-authored by @gloriagennaro.bsky.social @laurabronner.bsky.social L.Derksen, @maelkubli.bsky.social A.Kotarcic, S.Kurer, P.Grech, @karstendonnay.bsky.social @fgilardi.bsky.social & D.Hangartner
- 🫡Do multiple parties help dictators survive? ➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support? ➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🫨How do voters respond to economic shocks from abroad? ➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🏛️Are U.S. presidential executive orders really unilateral? ➡️ @anniebenn.bsky.social shows that greater delegation and discretion in executive orders increase congressional oversight, revealing a hidden form of interbranch conflict www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🪙Do politicians signal partisan conflict through what they say? ➡️ Using Danish parliamentary debates, @mathiasoestergaard.bsky.social & @fghjorth.bsky.social show that vocal pitch signals partisan polarization, revealing the strategic use of nonverbal cues cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🪙Do economic sanctions negatively affect democracy and human rights in targeted countries? ➡️ @antonpeez.bsky.social re-examines the effects of Western sanctions to improve democracy and human rights from 1990-2021 and finds that negative effects persist www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🤖 Does GPT lean left or right across languages? ➡C. P. Walker & @joantimoneda.bsky.social find GPT output reflects local political attitudes: more conservative in Polish, more liberal in Swedish, and more pro-independence in Catalan www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🏘️ Does local exposure to refugee housing increase far right voting? ➡️ Using granular Berlin data, J Ferwerda & @riazsascha.bsky.social show refugee housing increased support for the far-right, but the backlash was geographically narrow in scope www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️ How does having more than one citizenship shape political participation? ➡️ S Jung , Y Lee & C Wong find US born dual citizens are more active than naturalized dual citizens. Having dual citizenship plays a relevant role in civic engagement www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🧠 Do IO leaders help their countries gain staff influence? ➡️ Using data from 25 UN agencies (1996–2022), J Chen, T Gui & L Wang find that leaders increase national representation by using contributions and stronger institutional ties www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🧠 How inaccurate are public perceptions of immigration? ➡️ @lutzphilipp.bsky.social & M Bitschnau show that many supposed misperceptions are actually guesses, offering a sharper way to study how perceptions shape political attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🚜 How does coercive social mobilisation shape political attitudes? ➡️ Using an RDD, A. Lee, W. Qi & D. Sun show that Chinese youth sent to labor in rural areas became more critical of local government but more supportive of the national regime www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- ⚡ Can political signals push capital toward clean energy? ➡️ @patrickbayer.bsky.social @lorenzocrippa.bsky.social & @fgenovese.bsky.social show that EU Commission announcements during the early Ukraine war briefly moved markets toward greener energy firms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️ What drives democratic renewal in U.S. states? ➡️ Using Coincidence Analysis, @jesserhodesumass.bsky.social finds three routes to stronger democracy, centered on the Dem Party and unions, with roles for diverse populations and a liberal public mood www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🇺🇦What traits do citizens value in leaders during war? ➡L Laustsen, @honoratam.bsky.social @fvanleeuwen.bsky.social H Bartusevičius & M Vugt show war increases desire for dominant leaders, reducing warmth & competence. Anger amplifies all traits www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🤖How can we turn text into a reliable quantitative measure using supervised learning? ➡️Ju Yeon Park & J M Montgomery outline a framework, illustrated with the tone of questions in U.S. Senate confirmation hearings www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️ Policy congruence is key for democratic accountability. ➡️Using a game theoretic model, @liviodilo.bsky.social & T Dragu show that when an issue is more salient in elections, representatives' policies align less with voters' preferences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🏭 How can we measure firms' political influence across countries? ➡️Using surveys of 27,000+ firms in 41 countries and a Bayesian IRT model, D C. Francis & @rmkubinec.bsky.social estimate firm-level influence scores and show how they vary across regimes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📈Inequality is rising, but taxes have not become more progressive. Why? ➡️ C Ballard-Rosa, R Rogowski, K Scheve & @nicolajthor.bsky.social find that information on inequality alone cannot fully explain why income taxes have not increased www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)? ➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📊 Are populist attitudes evenly spread across the ideological spectrum? ➡️ Using CSES data from 43 countries, E Tamaki & @drjungphd.bsky.social find a non-linear relationship: populism is strongest at the ideological extremes, forming a U-shape pattern www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗣️ Can speech sentiment predict MPs' behaviour? ➡️ Using Japan's parliamentary debates and a model trained on labelled debates, A Matsuo & K Fukumoto show opposition MPs speak more negatively with seniority and as elections near www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🏛️ How do US parties assign senators to committees? ➡️ A Thakur shows Republicans rely on seniority with little party influence, while Democrats use a process where leaders resolve seat clashes, shaping how power and policy develop in Congress www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- ❤️Does partisanship shape online dating? ➡️ In a conjoint in the UK, Y. Sleiman @gmelios.bsky.social & P. Dolan find politics matter as much as looks, but openness to opposing views matters more. Labour voters show stronger in-group bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🇺🇸 Can watching dialogue across party lines reduce polarisation? ➡️ L-O Ankori-Karlinsky, @robert_a_blair, J. Gottlieb & @smooreberg show that a documentary of an intergroup workshop reduces polarisation and boosts faith in democracy www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🗳️ What are the effects of restrictive voting laws on turnout in the US? ➡️ Using variation from a tornado on Super Tuesday 2020, @scottfabramson.bsky.social & S Thrower show that being reassigned to a new polling site reduces turnout by 5.65 pts www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 📺In China, "Topical Debate Programs" bring officials, experts & citizens together to air concerns. ➡️J Chen, Y Wang, M Zhang & X Zhou show these programs boost trust in local government and deliberation can matter even with controlled agendas www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
- 🚔Did George Floyd’s murder change Americans' racial attitudes? ➡️ @amengel.bsky.social & C. D. Kam find attitudes shifted, but unevenly: largest and most lasting for Black Americans and White Democrats, weaker or countervailing for others www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
