Zbigniew Truchlewski
Prof Uni of Geneva • Fellow @eui-schuman.bsky.social &
@lse-ei.bsky.social • EU Polity Formation & Integration, Solidarity, Austerity • @solid-erc.bsky.social • Frmrly: @uva.nl Max Weber EUI @ecb.europa.eu @ec.europa.eu • https://zgtruchlewski.github.io
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewskinow open access :)
- 🚨New publication on cleavages in party competition in Central and Eastern Europe 🚨 CEE party systems are famously volatile, but does that mean that they are unstructured? ❓I ask whether competition has become programmatically organized around enduring cleavages 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1354... Thread 👇
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiThe publisher estimates the Bayesian Workflow book will ship in June www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Wor...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski📢 JOB ALERT! Postdoc opportunity in Political Behaviour & Political Economy (UKRI‑funded) - Please do share with anyone who might be a great fit. If you’re interested or would like to know more, please feel free to get in touch!! jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewskito subjugate all of Ukr, any settlement now would be temporary. To make it last, Ukr has to be able to defend the new border and this means BOTH keeping the fortified parts of Donbas and foreign troops stationed there along w Ukr troops. It’s the only realistic way to deter a 3rd Ru invasion.
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiNew blog post introducing Causion - a web app for causal inference teaching and learning: pedermisager.org/blog/causion....
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiBayesian Workflow by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, @rmcelreath.bsky.social with @danpsimpson.bsky.social, @charlesm993.bsky.social, @yulingy.bsky.social, Lauren Kennedy, Jonah Gabry, @paulbuerkner.com, @modrakm.bsky.social, @vianeylb.bsky.social (in production, estimated copy-editing time 6 weeks)
- Important read from @evehubscher.bsky.social and @sattlersthomas.bsky.social - straight into my syllabus on crisis politics.
- Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on „Austerity and Populism“ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiVery proud of the publication of this article, led by the brilliant @cvalebeek.bsky.social. We comprehensively test the causal effect of political trust on turnout and party choice, by breaking down these effects by trust levels, trust variability, and trust change events. Plus: cool visualisations.
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewskiwe have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt - a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage - 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiNot convinced… for reasons already mentioned (financial crisis, sovereign debt criss,… austerity). See for instance: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski🚨 3-Year Postdoc in Political Science at Aarhus University 🚨 I’m seeking to recruit a postdoc for my @erc.europa.eu research project 𝑬𝑸𝑼𝑰𝑳𝑰𝑩𝑹𝑰𝑼𝑴 on state-citizen interactions. Link and more information in second post. Position Start: Fall 2026 Application Deadline: ‼️ February 5, 2026, 23:59 CET ‼️
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski🚨 ‼️ Five days left to apply for the postdoc in Political Text Analysis in the MULTIREP ERC project 👇. Use your last chance to apply 😉
- 🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna! ⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025 wratil.eu/files/MULTIR... 1/4 🧵
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiFor those that want to put their money where their democracy is: @direkt36.bsky.social (hu) @investigacecz.bsky.social (cz) @vsquare.bsky.social (CEE) @decorrespondent.nl (nl) @mediapart.fr (fr)
- Happy to see the review of the book by @nenaoana.bsky.social @alexmoise.bsky.social and Hanspeter Kriesi on the EU and COVID recently published at Oxford University Press by Reinout van der Veer at the @jei-publication.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
- Reviewed together with the excellent books by @rsenninger.bsky.social @annebind.bsky.social @sorenserritzlew.bsky.social and colleagues "Policy Preparation Inside the European Commission" global.oup.com/academic/pro...
- ... as well as Fabio Franchino & Camilla Mariotto "Balancing Pressures" on European economic governance www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...
- Brilliant lecture by @uelistaeger.bsky.social on work with @tonihaastrup.bsky.social on EU's geopolitical turn and its effects on relationship with Africa - at the Unige GSI and roundtable with @catherinehoeffler.bsky.social Dêlidji Eric Degila and Didier Péclard www.unige.ch/gsi/genevaaf...
- Lots of interesting things to chew on, e.g., comparison of EU Peace Facility (Africa: APF and Ukraine: EPF) that reminded me on this literature on the politics of public policy instruments. Switching from one to the other entails different dynamics. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
- From the famous stats paper: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HdOh...
- Very much this 👇 Goal is 75% reach, almost there!
- If this is a moment when you feel like helping courageous Ukrainians to stay alive, here is one way to do so. www.help99.co/patches/timo...
- Brilliant initiative, agree with @unabergmane.bsky.social - there are lots of very good books from and on Ukraine, like Zhadan's The Orphanage or @popovaprof.bsky.social and @oxanashevel.bsky.social Russia and Ukraine: Entangled Histories, Diverging States, and much more!
- While empires are ravaging Ukraine, think about donating to Ukrainians if you can. And consider de-centring these empires from your cultural consumption. There is fantastic music and literature in Ukraine that Russia is trying to destroy. Support it by learning about it. chapterukraine.com
- Thought-provoking week-end read by Cornel: "The problem isn’t that China “cheats.” The problem is that it plans well while Europeans act like the last liberals in the trenches, preferring to vanish rather than see too much state intervention." ...
- Forget derisking. 2025 is about the the quiet MAGA-fication of the European mainstream, one green regulation rollback and green subsidy cut at a time. geoeconomic.substack.com/p/the-wartbu...
- ... "Manufacturing batteries, solar panels, and EVs demands scale, cheap capital, and long time horizons—things Europe once understood, before it outsourced them to people who think like the bond market. Their very union was, in fact, designed initially py French 5 year planners like Jean Monnet."
- Amazing and very useful work by @dtoshkov.bsky.social also cool for teaching purposes -> @nenaoana.bsky.social
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiConditioning on a match indicator S can generate collider bias exactly cancelling a confounding path and identifying the effect of Z on X. Here it is in a very good DAG. 9/10 because of the functional form specificity. From Steiner et al. (2017) "Graphical Models for Quasi-experimental Designs"
- Great opportunity 👇!
- 🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna! ⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025 wratil.eu/files/MULTIR... 1/4 🧵
- I'm recruiting a PhD researcher at the Department of Politics and the Global Studies Institute at the University of Geneva. Please repost! Quick overview, more details in link:
- - Start date: 1st February 2026 - You will be assistant on a BA course in EU politics - Thesis should be finished by 2030 - No need to know French, but you should be willing to learn later - Competitive salary - Great teams, nice environment (also, mountains! lakes!) - Deadline: November 23
- Happy to answer questions by email or DM, looking forward to applications! More details: jobs.unige.ch/www/wd_porta...
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiExciting to see this in print - the first article of our special issue on EU crisis politics and polity formation, by Hanspeter Kriesi in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Lots more to follow...
- 🍵 Keep calm and avoid polity politicisation 🤝 Hanspeter Kriesi examines policy politicisation during COVID-19 and finds that, despite tensions, de-escalation and polity-maintenance mechanisms prevented a spillover into polity politicisation 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski⚒️ 🚢 🌊 Part of the Special Issue: Rebuilding the ship at sea: crisis politics and EU polity formation; Guest Editors: @katealexandershaw.bsky.social, Kate Alexander Shaw, Marcello Natili, @nenaoana.bsky.social, Waltraud Schelkle & @ztruchlewski.bsky.social
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski🍵 Keep calm and avoid polity politicisation 🤝 Hanspeter Kriesi examines policy politicisation during COVID-19 and finds that, despite tensions, de-escalation and polity-maintenance mechanisms prevented a spillover into polity politicisation 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski❗Among their electoral potential, social democratic parties face very few strategic dilemmas. Left-progressive appeals resonate most strongly. New study in @worldpolitics.bsky.social with @tabouchadi.bsky.social , @indubioproreto.bsky.social, Nadja Mosimann, and @markuswagner.bsky.social Thread👇
- New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski🎉 New research alert! My study with the great @ilketoygur.bsky.social has just been published in JEPP @jeppjournal.bsky.social: "Does climate policy backlash fuel Eurosceptic vote? Exploring the link in the European Parliament elections" www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.... (THREAD)
- Thanks so much @dermothodson.bsky.social and @vanghel.bsky.social for giving stimulating comments on the new book by @nenaoana.bsky.social @alexmoise.bsky.social and Hanspeter Kriesi, it will help us further develop our research agenda!
- It was a privilege to discuss this great book by @ztruchlewski.bsky.social, @nenaoana.bsky.social, @alexmoise.bsky.social and Hanspeter Kriesi @ces-europe.bsky.social . It is a must read on how Europeans stood together during the pandemic and whether such solidarity was exceptional or the new norm.
- New book out at @oxfordacademic.bsky.social on COVID and the EU by @nenaoana.bsky.social @alexmoise.bsky.social and Hanspeter Kriesi. The book was presented at the @eui-eu.bsky.social @eui-sps.bsky.social with very insightful comments by @simonhix.bsky.social www.eui.eu/events?id=57...
- The book is just out and will be discussed at @ces-europe.bsky.social in Philadelphia on Wed 25/06 with comments by @vanghel.bsky.social @dermothodson.bsky.social! Stay tuned for more threads about the book once the busy period gets less busy 🫠! global.oup.com/academic/pro...
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiDelighted to see the 2nd edition of Foundations of European Politics 🇪🇺 in print! @catherinedevries.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social If you teach EU or European politics, you can order an inspection copy here: global.oup.com/ushe/product...
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiDelighted that my paper with @kevincunning.bsky.social on "Still second-order national elections? Evaluating the classic model after the 2024 European elections" has just been published by @wepsocial.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... 1/
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiOut now🎉 - Evidence (from distribution analyses and machine learning models on EES 2014-2024 data) of strong similarities and growing convergence in EU public opinion, particularly on economic issues. Common right-ward shifts on immigration, yes - but underlying drivers still vary. shorturl.at/KCx0S
- Neat 👇
- ICYMI githistory.xyz is a great way to navigate #git commits and visualise how a file has been changing across commits Just replace github.com with github.githistory.xyz in the URL and enjoy! #rstats
- Congrats to @nenaoana.bsky.social, Marcello Natili and his moustache for new smarticle in @jeppjournal.bsky.social on public support for the EU during crises. A short 🧵: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
- Between 2005 and 2025, the EU had what experts technically refer to as “a total meltdown, repeatedly.” Every time Europe faced a new disaster—money stuff, human stuff, germ stuff, or sky being angry stuff—it responded by gluing more Europe onto itself.
- This process is called “binding,” which sounds like a weird Fifty Shades of Brussels thing, but here it just means the EU trying to do actual government things, like fixing stuff or being blamed for things it didn’t do.
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- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiNEW - Benchmarking pandemic response: How the UK’s COVID-19 vaccine rollout impacted diffuse and specific support for the EU - cup.org/425D2O7 - @irenerodriguez.bsky.social, @tonirodon.bsky.social, @aslunn.bsky.social, @lisaherbig.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social & @theresakuhn.bsky.social
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiThe first novel I read in Ukraine, Pidmohyl’nyi’s “The City” now available in English translation. More important work from HURI. books.huri.harvard.edu/books/the-city
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiOnline first: "Partisan cueing and preferences for fiscal integration in the European Union" by @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social @bjoernbremer.bsky.social @theresakuhn.bsky.social & @francesconicoli.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... #Academicsky #Polisky
- Good point about cohort replacement & Brexit! It has been analysed more in depth in this great article by @fresejoris.bsky.social, @juhoharkonen.bsky.social arkonen.bsky.social & @simonhix.bsky.social ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
- Very good memes to teach Bayesian stats...
- Entrance exams at Normale Sup' never disappoint and are deeper than they appear. Great exercise: allows for creativity, forces to critically mobilize acquired knowledge, especially in the age of AI and writing on PCs (it's pen and paper). Useful also to teach how to write well-structured essays.
- "Tu dois" is polysemic: can mean you owe, but also you must, the question is what is the connection between the two. Another layer is that the topic is embedded in quotation marks, so one way to problematize the essay would be ask who speaks, to whom, why etc.
- Topic is a very good excuse to ask what are we responsible for and under which conditions (and connect to idea of freedom), what we owe to each other and ourselves, and who decides and why. Many ways to skin this cat.
- Some very good topics from years past: 2015, Expliquer; 2007, Peut-on tout dire?; 2004, Qu’est-ce que mourir?; 1996, Qu’est-ce que parler veut dire?; 1990, Qu’est-ce qui apparaît dans le phénomène? Not that different from All Souls Oxford: www.asc.ox.ac.uk/sites/defaul...
- Great job at amazing department with wonderful people, smart students, free coffee and secret ping pong table:
- Political theory/philosophy job in our Department! Deadline 26 May. Happy to answer questions by email. werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski[This post could not be retrieved]
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiThis Thursday @uwmadison.bsky.social
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski📣 :
- Cool smarticle comparing MEPs' and EU citizens' preferences, useful for teaching the EU and for colleagues @solid-erc.bsky.social @disintegrationerc.bsky.social @nenaoana.bsky.social @kovarek.bsky.social @joeganderson.bsky.social among others
- 📢New publication with the fabulous @rickwhitaker.bsky.social & @sofiavasilopoulou.bsky.social. We ask how well MEPs represent EU citizens with a particular focus on those with extreme positions using @eesresearch.bsky.social and EPRG data. Find the answers in Rick’s🧵⬇️🤓
- Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski📚😅🎉 Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher! Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies. Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com #RStats #PyData
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiThis is the most incredible commentary on what is happening in the US, by one of the most eminent political scientists on the planet. You have to read this. open.substack.com/pub/adamprze...
- Excellent research from Ursula Daxecker and @neerajprsd.bsky.social 👇 in @thejop.bsky.social
- My article with U Daxecker titled "Demanding Violence, Punishing Peace: Support for Party Violence in India" has been accepted for publication by The Journal of Politics @thejop.bsky.social. Below is a 🧵explaining the argument, the empirical case, and many thank you(s). doi.org/10.1086/736113
- Good point about US/EU comparison and US being a contested model for the EU. Colleagues @katealexandershaw.bsky.social @joeganderson.bsky.social & Waltraud Schelkle have a great article on this very issue: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
- Please consider donating to News from Poland - a delightful news website on all things Polish and so much more (with wisdom and sense of humour). You can contribute a small sum or donate monthly!
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiTrès honorée de présenter Unexpected Revolutionaries @cornellupress.bsky.social Thanks so much to the @centresidjanski.bsky.social for the kind invite 😊 À bientôt!
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiI improved my second most popular blog article: fharrell.com/post/journey #StatsSky #Statistics #bayes
- FYI Alex Moise has now joined the chat as @alexmoise.bsky.social and also this book contains no war plans, tariffs or orange hair. And it's open access!
- 🚨Congrats to @nenaoana.bsky.social and Alexandru D. Moise for new joint book at @cambridgeup.bsky.social @cambridgeuppolisci.bsky.social on the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine public preferences for the European Union.
- Reposted by Zbigniew TruchlewskiDiscover the LSE European Institute on Bluesky with our new Starter Pack! Help us share it! go.bsky.app/CFQxttcat://did:plc:ubrcyykbscfmuyrfhktf2jvd/app.bsky.graph.starterpack/3llc4og6r662v
- Fantastic opportunity to deepen your knowledge of social science research methods @methodsnet.bsky.social @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna, impressive list of faculty. Took course with @silviafierascu.bsky.social a few years back - really worth it
- Check out the QCA courses by Jedi set theory masters @nenaoana.bsky.social & @cqschneider.bsky.social and @kovarek.bsky.social who has a black belt in experimental political science and coffee making. Lots of other cool courses!
