László Szerencsés
Researcher at SUITS in Stockholm ▪️ Former Mercator-IPC Fellow ▪️ PhD from University of Graz ▪️Turkey's foreign policy
- I contributed a short prediction to @turkeyrecap.bsky.social's 2026 outlook on 🇹🇷–🇭🇺 relations. Core take: Hungary’s 2025 election may change rhetoric, not fundamentals. Energy, migration, and Turkey’s hub role will still dominate the relationship. www.turkeyrecap.com/p/2026-predi...
- Reposted by László SzerencsésFrom @“gmfus.bsky.social : Hungary’s 2026 Elections: The Stakes and Challenges. Information, insights, analysis. Worth watching every second, but key food-for-thought for me: youtu.be/swZ36J4g4KA?...
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- 🎙️I enjoyed speaking with @diegocupolo.bsky.social on @turkeyrecap.bsky.social about Turkey-Hungary relations and their broader implications for the liberal international order, including energy, EU politics, and the Organisation of Turkic States. www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiSM...
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- I’ll be joining Turkey recap tomorrow at 10:00 (CET) to discuss Turkey-Hungary relations. We’ll look at how the relationship has evolved, from energy and defence cooperation to civilizational ties and their implications for the EU. 🔗 Join here live: open.substack.com/live-stream/...
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- Reposted by László SzerencsésHow do international crises help authoritarians? I wrote for the Project Syndicate 👇
- @senemaydndzgit.bsky.social shows how Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine helped strengthen the domestic legitimacy of autocrats in Hungary and Turkey in the run-up to pivotal elections. bit.ly/49ppgKl
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- Honored to see my Balkan Insight op-ed 📝 cited by @jameskerlindsay.bsky.social as a ‘straightforward explanation’ (9:31) of Turkey–Serbia dynamics in his latest video 🎥. It’s encouraging to see this topic gaining wider attention beyond policy circles. youtu.be/0-t7V0EtB5k?...
- He also raises an important question about the fragility of the relationship. This is a development I have been observing as well and plan to explore further in my upcoming work. More on this soon. Stay tuned. Link to the article: balkaninsight.com/2025/10/10/t...
- Trump–Putin meeting in Budapest = Orbán’s dream scenario. Two disruptors of the liberal order on home soil just months before the 2026 election. First invited to Egypt as the only Eastern European leader, he now hosts the illiberal axis. Orbán gains legitimacy without offering a single concession.
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- Outrage one day, admiration the next. Vučić’s reaction to Turkey's drone sales to Kosovo captures the fragile pragmatism holding Serbia–Turkey relations together. ✍️ My latest in Balkan Insight: balkaninsight.com/2025/10/10/t...
- @whitejenny.bsky.social delivering her keynote lecture on „Beyond oppression and resistance: The transformative power of theory“ at the CEST Summer School in Turin.
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- Why does Magyar, Orbán's challenger, want the Putin–Zelensky meeting to be held in Budapest? He’s preparing for the worst. If it takes place in HU, Orbàn would argue that his pro-Russia, anti-Ukraine line has been justified – and that could boost him in the 2026 elections. telex.hu/english/2025...
- Hungary is at a crossroads - my op-ed for BI ⚖️ Orbán’s anti-Western course vs. Magyar’s cautious pro-Western shift 🛑 Vetoes could end, but migration & UA remain red lines 🚪 Silent support, not loud intervention — Berlin and the EU should give Magyar space to win balkaninsight.com/2025/08/19/h...
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- Hungary hosted the informal summit of the Organisation of Turkic States on 20-21 May in Budapest. In his speech, Viktor Orbán emphasized the organisation’s role in Hungary’s energy diversification efforts. See my earlier report for the background.
- 1/🚨 Publication alert 🚨- My report on Turkey-Hungary relations is out! What started as an economic diversification strategy turned into a symbolic alliance after Turkey's failed 2016 coup attempt, and Hungary's isolation inside the EU in the same period. ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/Content/Imag...
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- As the EU is about to propose banning Russian gas imports by the end of 2027, see my brief on how Turkey and Hungary have challenged these efforts. www.su.se/institute-fo...
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- The EU’s gas diversification efforts are being challenged. My latest SUITS Brief explores how Turkey’s energy hub ambitions and Hungary’s energy policies undermine the EU’s efforts, and offers a way to move forward. 🧵👇1/5
- The @munsecconf.bsky.social (MSC) report on multipolarity has some interesting findings on Turkey. A greater share of respondents in the BRICS countries without RU see Turkey as a "great power" than in the West. This is a result of Turkey's diplomatic focus on the developing world. 1/3
- 1/🚨 Publication alert 🚨- My report on Turkey-Hungary relations is out! What started as an economic diversification strategy turned into a symbolic alliance after Turkey's failed 2016 coup attempt, and Hungary's isolation inside the EU in the same period. ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/Content/Imag...
- Reposted by László SzerencsésThis NYT piece describes the devastation being wrought in the global health sector by the foreign assistance freeze. Let me say a few words about what this looks like in the sector I work in, often called democracy and governance (DRG). 🧵
- Reposted by László SzerencsésFirst publication of the year now out and open access in International Politics! This one is very close to heart as it is the last one we (@mmkutlay and I) wrote with dear Fuat Keyman. link.springer.com/content/pdf/...
- I've joined the Institute for Turkish Studies at Stockholm University as a postdoctoral researcher.
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- This is the best overview I've seen so far of the current picture on the ground in Syria.
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- Turkey is navigating its role in legitimizing the sovereignty of the new HTS-led Syrian interim government, but it remains cautious. This is due to the fears that the HTS will get out of hand, which could jeopardize Ankara’s relations with the EU and the US. 🧵 1/
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