Lukas Lehner
Assistant Prof @EdinburghUni |
Econ & social policy:
labor, (un)employment, inequality |
http://supertracker.spi.ox.ac.uk |
lukaslehner.github.io
- Reform UK recently claimed that the UK’s benefits bill would be much higher than in other Western countries. That's simply incorrect. I spoke to @timharford.ft.com for #BBC More or Less about the actual cost of welfare. BBC: www.bbc.com/audio/play/p... Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/6WyJ...
- Contributing to this programme was one of the best journalistic experiences I’ve had given the exceptionally thorough background fact-checking; a real testament to the quality of #BBC and #MoreorLess.
- Der Berufseinstieg für junge Studienabsolvent:innen ist derzeit schwierig. Gleichzeitig bleibt eine gute Ausbildung einer der wichtigsten Schutzfaktoren gegen Arbeitslosigkeit; gerade über den Erwerbsverlauf. Mit der Kleinen Zeitung habe ich darüber gesprochen: www.kleinezeitung.at/steiermark/2...
- Aktuell subventionieren Branchen mit stabiler Beschäftigung jene mit instabiler Beschäftigung. Experience Ratings, wie in den USA, würden dies eindämmen. Mit dem ORF habe ich über die aktuell steigende Arbeitslosigkeit in Österreich gesprochen: on.orf.at/video/143022... noe.orf.at/stories/3332...
- Excited to be part of this project, where we'll aim to improve cost-benefit analysis of social policies over the next four years. Thanks for leading the work, @robertoiacono.org!
- The WelGain project has got a website on which you can follow our updates! www.ntnu.edu/isa/welgain
- Thrilled and honoured to receive the @upjohninstitute.bsky.social 2025 Dissertation Award 🏆 Congrats to @amyburnettcross.bsky.social & Omeed! Truly grateful to my mentors and collaborators, especially @simonjaeger.bsky.social & @maxkasy.bsky.social. Can’t quite believe it looking at past winners.
- The Upjohn Institute announces its 2025 Dissertation Award winners. First Prize: Lukas Lehner (@lukaslehner.bsky.social) “Beyond Unemployment: An Investigation of Social Policies to Empower Workers in a Changing World of Work” for Oxford University www.upjohn.org/Upjohn-Insti...
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- Thank you!
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- Vielen lieben Dank, Markus!
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- Vielen lieben Dank!
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- Danke dir, Matthias!
- Heute besuchten Finanzminister @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social und #JobGarantie-Initiator Landesrat @svenhergovich.bsky.social Marienthal, wo ich ihnen neue Ergebnisse unserer Evaluierung vorstellen konnte. @derstandard.at hat den Besuch zusammengefasst: www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
- Today Austria's Finance Minister @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social & #JobGuarantee Founder @svenhergovich.bsky.social visited #Marienthal where I shared new results of the evaluation with @maxkasy.bsky.social @inetoxford.bsky.social @derstandard.at covered the visit: www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
- Terrific news for @inetoxford.bsky.social & @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social!
- This fall, I'll join the University of Oxford as Professor of Social Policy, Inequality & Opportunity. I'll also become the Director of the Economics, Inequality and Opportunity Program at INET Oxford, and will join @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social as a Professorial Fellow.
- What can we learn from the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee pilot for designing effective labor market and social policy? @maxkasy.bsky.social and I have a new @inetoxford.bsky.social policy brief that summarises the results of the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee. oms-inet.files.svdcdn.com/production/f...
- Länger arbeiten, aber für wen ist das realistisch? Heute um 13:00 live auf #Ö1: Gemeinsam mit @cmayrhuber.bsky.social diskutieren wir bei Punkt Eins über #Pensionen und das #Pensionsantrittsalter in #Österreich, moderiert von Andreas Obrecht. 📞 0800 22 69 79 oe1.orf.at/programm/202...
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- Thank you very much for the support, Michael!
- Honoured to receive the Theodor #Kery Prize in Economic and Social Sciences in my home state of #Burgenland. @michaelgerbavsits.bsky.social Copyright Foto: Kerystiftung.
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- Thanks Tom!
- I am grateful for the recognition and support to the Burgenland-Foundation Theodor Kery and its chair @michaelgerbavsits.bsky.social!
- Steigt die Arbeitslosigkeit, wird es für ältere Arbeitssuchende besonders schwer, einen Job zu finden. Die Aktion 55+ ist eine innovative Ankündigung im Regierungsprogramm. Offen bleibt die Umsetzung. Um effektiv zu sein, sollte das Programm auf Erfahrungen wie der Marienthal Jobgarantie aufbauen.
- Ganzes Interview: orf.at/av/video/onD...
- Österreich hat die Beschäftigung älterer Menschen deutlich gesteigert: ein Plus von 20 Prozentpunkten in 15 Jahren. Mit den richtigen Rahmenbedingungen ist noch deutlich mehr möglich - unabhängig vom gesetzlichen Pensionsantrittsalter. Im Gespräch mit dem ORF für die ZIB: on.orf.at/video/142775...
- At the blog I wrote about a new paper by @natewilmers.bsky.social , @zparolin.bsky.social , and @lukaslehner.bsky.social . We're living in a novel era of inequality discordance. What's going on?! asocial.substack.com/p/inequality...
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- Thanks a lot, Tom!
- . @tvanheuvelen.bsky.social offers a thoughtful review and sharp explainer of our @jpube.bsky.social article on inequality discordance. If you are not already following his Substack on inequality research, social science, and data you should sign up here: asocial.substack.com
- At the blog I wrote about a new paper by @natewilmers.bsky.social , @zparolin.bsky.social , and @lukaslehner.bsky.social . We're living in a novel era of inequality discordance. What's going on?! asocial.substack.com/p/inequality...
- Thanks for diving deep into the article and reviewing it thoughtfully, @tvanheuvelen.bsky.social, really appreciate it!
- To answer your question, the transfer and tax income measures are from the Annual Social and Economic Supplements (ASEC) of CPS. www.census.gov/data/dataset...
- Austrian government announces €50 million to expand the Job Guarantee scheme in new budget by Finance Minister @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social Based on the evidence of the pilot initiated by @svenhergovich.bsky.social and our evaluation with @maxkasy.bsky.social www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/austria...
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- Danke Verena!
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- Brilliant! I'm looking forward to chatting with you 😊
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- Thank you, Wouter!
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- Many thanks, Per!
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- Oh this is nice of you, Alexandra. Many thanks! Your research looks very cool and impressive! It would be great to connect sometime.
- Thanks for your kind words, Alexandra!
- Remarkable announcement by Austria’s new Finance Minister, @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social, in his first annual budget speech to parliament: Despite major fiscal consolidation efforts, the budget allocates €50 million annually to expand #JobGuarantee programs for unemployed workers.
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- Let's see what it needs for them to learn. The EU job guarantee pilot funding is set to start this year.
- It was educational and fun to participate in the @i4replication.bsky.social UK Replication Games. Our task was pretty smooth thanks to @simonweschle.bsky.social's excellent replication package and code, which could serve as a model example of literate programming. Here’s our replication report:
- 3-Politicians’ private sector jobs and parliamentary behavior, @ajpseditor.bsky.social Updated report here (based on author’s feedback): ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/i4rdps... Author: “Thanks a lot to the replication team for their careful analysis, I really appreciate all the work they put into it!”
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- Cool, I may actually be able to join that one. Thanks for sharing!
- Join us this Thursday for the #ILO paper launch and our discussion of public employment programmes at the intersection of labour market and social protection policies. #JobGuarantee @socialprotection.org @cbehrendt.bsky.social socialprotection.org/learn/webina...
- 🚨 New Publication 🚨 Super hyped that my paper “The Decline of Manufacturing Employment and the Rise of the Far-Right in Austria” is now forthcoming in the Journal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social . doi.org/10.1016/j.jp... #EconSky A short 🧵 1/8
- Congrats, Karim! Great paper!🙌
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- Seems like very topical material for your class!
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- Some routes get closer to a hike but still walks for the most part ;)
- Nice walk!
- Interesting analysis from Deutsche Bank using FED data showing that if the tariffs announced by Trump were implemented, U.S. tariffs were to return to historic levels last seen in the 1940s.
- Great news! ✅ REGROUP's #PanDDemiC portal is now added to the #OxfordSupertracker, a renowned platform that collects policy trackers and datasets of #covid19 measures worldwide. Explore here: supertracker.spi.ox.ac.uk/policy-track... Developed by @lukaslehner.bsky.social and Bernhard Ebbinghaus.
- Glad to have such an impressive project on board!
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View full threadEstimating job creation is often done with model simulations in macroeconomics or industrial organization, for which a key aspect is whether you buy the assumptions the respective model relies on. So I would recommend looking out for the assumption used in each simulation. 1/2
- By contrast, in applied microeconomics, we aim to causally identify the (employment) effect of an event in the past. Here is a reader friendly introduction focused on the local economy. It shows how much variation there is in multipliers across various settings: whatworksgrowth.org/wp-content/u...
- Nice comment by @neillewisjr.bsky.social on our Walmart research, why providing such evidence that links to lived experiences matters, and what it entails for diversity in academia. #econsky
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- Thank you!
