James Prentice
Researcher, likes data, graphs, infographics and telling stories with data. PhD in political analysis from Sussex uni - like all social science subjects. Mainly post about political analysis and my research within the Hastings & Rye area. Fabian member.
- Thanks to everyone who engaged with my blog outlining deprivation in Hastings; it now has over 1,000 views. I am currently selling a book that explores housing, poverty, education, health and environmental problems in Hastings. This can be ordered through Amazon. www.amazon.co.uk/Fixing-Hasti...
- A blog summarising my research on deprivation in Hastings and how it has increased. It contains visualisations outlining how inequality varies across the town, with the option to make these maps interactive for those interested. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/depriva...
- Enjoyed selling copies of my book at the makers fair this weekend.
- Reposted by James Prentice🚨Data Update 🚨 We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP. www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
- The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters, according to the British Election Study. It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. Full report here: lnkd.in/eabH8EUC
- Out of all 2024 Labour voters, only those lost to Reform mostly perceive migration as a negative. Those lost to the Greens and Lib-Dems more often view it as a positive or are indifferent. Labour conference could be used to change tone on migration debate as many of its base would support this.
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- The most recent voting intention of 2024 Labour voters according to the British Election Study - Wave 30 (2025). It shows Labour has lost 20% to "undecided" people, 18.5% to Left-Liberal parties & 10.5% to Right-Authoritarian parties. It highlights the fragmentation of British politics nicely.
- A short article I wrote on the housing crisis in Hastings & St Leonards. It goes through the latest data available (mostly obtained from HBC) and outlines the scale of the challenge the council faces. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/fixing-...
- The Conservative vote splintered across multiple parties in the last election, with it mostly going to Reform. Labour's vote this parliament is fragmenting but mostly in the other direction (with the Lib-Dems and the Greens being the main beneficiaries).
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- The Leave vs Remain divide in the UK continued to divide the voters perceptions of the political parties across the last parliament. In this case, how well Labour would run the NHS if in government.
- ukandeu.ac.uk/losing-faith... An article I wrote in declining turnout was published by UK in a Changing Europe. Tap the link to read.
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- Only 1% of disadvantaged students in Hastings meet the higher standards in primary school testing, compared to 10+% across England. Needless to say that education outcomes for disadvantaged pupils in Hastings is generally poor. Early years inequality effects in education never ceases to amaze me.
- The Conservatives lost their pro-Brexit coalition partly due to not being trusted to manage migration flows. Their decline sped up after the rise in small boat crossings and the decline in inflation. Labour doing poorly on the immigration issue could lose them leave voters they gained in 2024.
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- The pro-Brexit base the Conservatives secured in 2019 disintegrated across the last parliament. This shows just how difficult parties are finding to keep their support bases in tact in the UK. Therefore, Labour not retaining its 2024 base is a continuation of a longer term trend.
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- Something I wrote about Labour's electoral strategy in the wake of the 2025 local election result was published by the @thefabians.bsky.social . I argue that Labour need to rethink its approach as the electoral landscape changes. #Reform #Labour #politics #election #UK #stratergy #analysis
- People who voted in the the 2019 general election but chose not to participate in 2024 more often disapproved of all the party leaders. This displays a deep sense of apathy within the entire political system amongst those not voting. #voting #trust #politics #rating #party #Labour #Conservative
- People who voted in the 2019 UK general election but did not vote in 2024 more often felt No Party performed on the issues they most cared about (the economy and immigration). A lack of faith in government being able to deliver could be decreasing turnout. #Trust #Vote #politics #tunrout #graph
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- British politics might partly be becoming more polarised (Fragmented) because the parties have internally decided to vacate the centre ground (with the exception of Labour). #Britishpolitics #politics #Labour #Conservative #Reform #Green #analysis
- People who voted in the 2019 general election and did not participate in 2024 disproportionately rented their accommodation. They also were more often in low-income households. Read the full report here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out #apathy #vote #voting #politics #Reform #Labour
- Reposted by James PrenticeThis chart is from @britishelectionstudy.com @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social, me and Ed Fieldhouse. You can see that 2024 Reform voters mainly came from the Conservatives or UKIP in 2015. This has been a story on the right for *ten years* now, unless something very different happened last week.
- Just a reminder that the people who didn't vote in the last UK general election (but did vote in 2019) tend to fit in the exact demographics Reform will be targeting. Those who voted leave, on lower incomes, working class and not university educated. Turnout increasing could favour #Reform #election
- People who voted in the 2019 UK general election who believed their personal finances would worsen in the near future more frequently decided to stop participating in 2024. #election #voting #economy #finances #costofliving #apathy #particiapte
- Those who were more dissatisfied with UK democratic outcomes more often stopped voting in the 2024 UK general election. To read the full report into decreasing turnout click the link www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out #turnout #politics #election #voting #UK #England #BES #Labour #Conservative
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- A key reason why turnout declined nearly 8% in the last UK general election was a feeling that no party had the vision and policy programme needed to fix the county's many problems.
- Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of political distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democracy. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
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- Identifying Gentrifcation can be tough as it is a hard to measure concept. The blog summarises my attempt the measure gentrification using Hastings and St Leonards as my case study. www.capturepolitics.co.uk/post/gentrif...
- Out of those who voted in the UK 2019 general election but did not vote in 2024, there were higher levels of distrust. There was also higher levels of dissatisfaction with democratic outcomes. #election #voting #turnout #politics . The full report located here: www.capturepolitics.co.uk/tuning-out
