The British Election Study
Britain’s oldest social survey. We provide non-partisan and independent data and research on elections in Britain.
- 🚨Data Update 🚨 We have released an updated version of our panel data. This version includes a correction to our p_ethnicity variables, which affected 7.8% of our respondents. There is also a very small correction to our geographic variables. More ⬇️ www.britishelectionstudy.com/uncategorize...
- 🚨Data Update 🚨 We are pleased to release an updated version of the 2024 BES Face-to-Face Post-Election Survey dataset (v1.0.1) that includes improved versions of two important survey weights (wt_demog and wt_vote) based on new estimates of the VEP. www.britishelectionstudy.com/2024-general...
- Reposted by The British Election StudyFeaturing @britishelectionstudy.com data. And analysis by @martamiori.bsky.social, @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social and data story supported by me.
- PESTON LIVE - 22/09/2025 👇 Join ITV’s Flagship Politics show Tonight Robert Peston and Pippa Crerar will be joined by: 💼 James Murray MP 🔶 @eddavey.libdems.org.uk 🌏 Aaron David Miller 🌹 @bellribeiroaddy.bsky.social ➡️ Maria Caulfield #Peston youtube.com/live/P-ku4ly...
- BES Research Fellow @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social has spoken with The Economist about our Parliamentary Affairs paper on how British voters are volatile, but their choices are now structured by party blocs after the Brexit realignment. Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...
- The Economist's piece also references work by @profjanegreen.bsky.social and @martamiori.bsky.social on tactical voting in 2024, and a paper that includes BES team member @jack-bailey.co.uk on Keir Starmer's "Island of Strangers" speech.
- You can read our paper here: academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a... You can read Marta and Jane's paper here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... You can read the working paper on the Islands of Strangers speech here: osf.io/preprints/so...
- 🚨DATA RELEASE 🚨 The BES team are pleased to announce the release of Wave 30 of the British Election Study Internet Panel. Please follow the link below, and we look forward to seeing your research! www.britishelectionstudy.com/bes-resource...
- Reposted by The British Election StudyInterested in Labour's lost voters since the 2024 UK GE? Want to get a sneak peak at some of the results from wave 30 of the BESIP before it is released? Then we have a new blog for you! 👇👇
- 🚨New Research 🚨 Ahead of the release of Wave 30 of the BES Internet Panel, the team has examined Labour's decline since the 2024 GE. Labour's support has splintered into mostly indecision or left-liberal parties, but they've also lost their few right-wing voters. 🧵⬇️ tinyurl.com/3m62exph
- Reposted by The British Election StudyThe Brexit realignment is the essential starting point for understanding where Labour's vote is splintering. The largest group is still 'undecided': good news-ish for Labour, but potential for others too. This shows how large Labour's first year losses are relative to recent comparable governments:
- 🚨New Research 🚨 Ahead of the release of Wave 30 of the BES Internet Panel, the team has examined Labour's decline since the 2024 GE. Labour's support has splintered into mostly indecision or left-liberal parties, but they've also lost their few right-wing voters. 🧵⬇️ tinyurl.com/3m62exph
- 🚨New Research 🚨 Ahead of the release of Wave 30 of the BES Internet Panel, the team has examined Labour's decline since the 2024 GE. Labour's support has splintered into mostly indecision or left-liberal parties, but they've also lost their few right-wing voters. 🧵⬇️ tinyurl.com/3m62exph
- Labour's decline in support is remarkable. Support for Labour has fallen more sharply after this election than it has for any other winning party covered by the BESIP (though the timings between waves are not identical).
- Labour's support has splintered. Over 1 in 5 of their 2024 voters are now undecided. Labour could win these back, but there is a risk. The Conservatives lost a similar amount to indecision after the last 3 elections, and they won most back in 2017 and 2019 (but not 2024).
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View full threadLabour's slump is significant. Labour’s vote has splintered between indecision and other left-liberal parties, with its rightward shift yielding little gain. Labour's main competition for their 2024 voters are other left-liberal parties. They have time to win them back, but a tough path to do it
- 🚨NEW DATA 🚨 The BES team are pleased to announce the release of the 2024 Random Probability Survey Release v1.0.0 You can download the data here: www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/... You can find our release note here: www.britishelectionstudy.com/uncategorize...
- New publication by the @britishelectionstudy.com team! @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social has summarised the main findings in this thread, but you can also find the paper here: academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
- 🚨NEW PUBLICATION 🚨 Though people have moved on from Brexit, they still vote in line with their Brexit preferences - with age/education still separating voters. Voters now back party blocs, which matters greatly for Labour's current appeals to Reform voters. 🧵 academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
- Reposted by The British Election StudyThis year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼🏫 Details and sign up below 🔽 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...
- If you're interested in what the local elections mean for the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, or the Greens, then @profjanegreen.bsky.social has a new explainer for you! You can read more about it here: tinyurl.com/2s48bbf4 Or you can watch here: youtu.be/T9pKpbECtKk?...
- Are you interested in the local elections? Do you want to know more about what they mean for Reform UK? If so, you should watch these explainers by @profjanegreen.bsky.social Tips for interpreting the locals: tinyurl.com/28jwpbub What it means for Reform: tinyurl.com/2sxrzeva
- Reposted by The British Election StudyHappy to say the third in this series is now on YouTube and @itvx.com. More soon….
- Are you interested in the local elections? Do you want to know more about what they mean for Reform UK? If so, you should watch these explainers by @profjanegreen.bsky.social Tips for interpreting the locals: tinyurl.com/28jwpbub What it means for Reform: tinyurl.com/2sxrzeva
- Are you interested in the local elections? Do you want to know more about what they mean for Reform UK? If so, you should watch these explainers by @profjanegreen.bsky.social Tips for interpreting the locals: tinyurl.com/28jwpbub What it means for Reform: tinyurl.com/2sxrzeva
- Reposted by The British Election StudyWe made some pithy explainers for you! Please watch these short films: Four tips for interpreting these local elections: www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DSb... Reform Revolution? Four hurdles Reform will still need to overcome: www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6ZG...
- Reposted by The British Election StudyReform will make big gains on 1 May. But what will that *MEAN*? Will it mean they're building momentum, or will these locals last fought in 2021 be mainly catching up with last year's GE? Will locals and a potential by-election win mean Reform are on track for a big Westminster breakthrough?
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View full threadReposted by The British Election StudyWith massive thanks to @martamiori.bsky.social, Rosalie Falla, Sadia Islam. A joy to work with. And all at @itvnews.bsky.social @itvnewspolitics.bsky.social for their support. Data and analysis from @britishelectionstudy.com @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @nprcoxford.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social
