Eva Vivalt
Assistant prof in economics at the University of Toronto, research on cash transfers and evidence-based decision-making, J-PAL affiliate. evavivalt.com
- I remember visiting New Orleans and hanging out with some people doing research on the coast. There are areas where people know the water's getting close, but they're like "great, in 10 years it will be on my doorstep!" They don't seem to think about year 11. Analogy for AI?
- Blatantly lying is a poor strategy when people are not that stupid.
- I was into crypto arbitrage in its heyday. I remember the crunch for time, when every minute felt (and was) insanely valuable. The current moment, with Claude Code etc., feels like that.
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- This is the clearest video analysis, lining up the different videos. The guy's feet are clear, he leans over.
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- 🚨 New working paper! How well do people predict the results of studies? @sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
- It's really fun to be working in a cafe and overhear someone talking about basic income and your work!
- An inspired choice! I was thinking there may be a prize for innovation this year, and it is so richly deserved.
- 🎖️ The Prize in Economic Sciences is awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt! Over the last two centuries the world has seen sustained economic growth. This year’s laureates explain how innovation provides the impetus for further progress. #PrizeinEconomicSciences #NobelPrize
- We've updated a paper on the 3-year, $1000/month U.S. guaranteed income study. New results, in 3 figures: 🧵 1) Subjective well-being significantly improved in the treatment group in year 1, but there were no significant differences between the treatment & control group after that. 1/
- Nice quote! One of the reasons for the Social Science Prediction Platform. A few of the cash transfer evaluations (including our own) collected ex ante forecasts there. @sdellavi.bsky.social
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- Okay, now that I've used it for some work on forecasting, I have to say this is a fantastic tool! We will be changing some things in our paper as a result. Highly recommended!
- Giving a seminar today at the World Bank's Strategic Impact Evaluation Fund, pulling together insights from three papers on the evidence-to-policy pipeline! Excited to engage with this group.
- Niche, but did you know there is a TTC shop? This is such a perfect fit for my interests (maps, public transit, puzzles) that I have to share. Probably other transit systems make them, too?
- Reposted by Eva VivaltMy last living musical hero is still my hero but unfortunately no longer living. RIP to the great, great Mr. Tom Lehrer.
- A salute to this man, who brought so much entertainment and camaraderie to so many. 💔 Several generations appreciating his music. www.youtube.com/watch?v=frAE...
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