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Max Barry

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AFL Prediction & Analysis. Aggregates the internet's finest football computer models. Writes novels as @maxbarry.com. Also likes netball. https://squiggle.au

Joined November 2024

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Nov 24, 2025
And Sydney win the flag from 10th - now possible in the 2026 Squiggle Ladder Predictor. predictor.squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Nov 24, 2025
Also I discovered that 9 out of 11 finals can be won by just 2 teams.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 27, 2025
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37323
Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.

22 models give Geelong a 51-76% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 13 points, but Hyperion gives Brisbane Lions a 50% chance with a margin of 1 point.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 26, 2025
Grand Final by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

squiggle.com.au

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Tony Corke handle.invalid · Sep 21, 2025
This is outrageous @squiggle.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 20, 2025
Collingwood by 4 with a 55% win chance. Collingwood v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLPiesLions squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37863
Collingwood v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.

16 models give Collingwood a 52-71% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 8 points, but 9 models give Brisbane Lions a 51-55% chance with a margin of 2 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 19, 2025
Geelong by 10 with a 62% win chance. Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsHawks squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37862
Geelong v Hawthorn @ M.C.G.

22 models give Geelong a 50-71% chance of victory over Hawthorn at the M.C.G. on Friday with an average tipped margin of 7 points, but The Footycast and AFL Scorigami give Hawthorn a 57-58% chance with a margin of 5 points.

squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 19, 2025
Preliminary Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 18, 2025
Don't mind me, just dropping my Squiggle Football: Modern Eras DLC store.steampowered.com/app/3168980/...

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 17, 2025
Squiggle Football v25.3.x - latest updates store.steampowered.com/news/app/154...
Squiggle Football - Patch 25.3.x: State of the Nation - Steam News

What's New (v25.2.10 -> v25.3.6): Australian state selector in "Create New Team" Oppo team place names reflect the appropriate Australian state in State & Bush leagues Add 3 x new 2025 debutants Fix D...

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 13, 2025
Brisbane Lions by 8 with a 59% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba #AFLLionsSuns squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37320
Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba

22 models give Brisbane Lions a 50-80% chance of victory over Gold Coast at Gabba on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 7 points, but The Cruncher and Informed Stats give Gold Coast a 53-72% chance with a margin of 13 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 12, 2025
Adelaide by 3 with a 54% win chance. Adelaide v Hawthorn @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsHawks squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37319
Adelaide v Hawthorn @ Adelaide Oval

21 models give Adelaide a 50-64% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval on Friday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but Glicko Ratings and Hyperion give Hawthorn a 51-55% chance with a margin of 2 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 12, 2025
Semi-Finals by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 6, 2025
Fremantle by 1 with a 52% win chance. Fremantle v Gold Coast @ Perth Stadium #AFLFreoSuns squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37316
Fremantle v Gold Coast @ Perth Stadium

15 models give Fremantle a 51-68% chance of victory over Gold Coast at Perth Stadium on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but 10 models give Gold Coast a 51-66% chance with a margin of 5 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 6, 2025
Greater Western Sydney by 1 with a 51% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsHawks squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37315
Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn @ Sydney Showground

16 models give Greater Western Sydney a 50-63% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Sydney Showground on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 3 points, but 9 models give Hawthorn a 51-60% chance with a margin of 2 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 5, 2025
Geelong by 12 with a 63% win chance. Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G. #AFLCatsLions squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37318
Geelong v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.

22 models give Geelong a 55-72% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at the M.C.G. on Friday with an average tipped margin of 13 points, but 3 models give Brisbane Lions a 50-52% chance with a margin of 0 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 4, 2025
Adelaide by 12 with a 63% win chance. Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsPies squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37317
Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval

23 models give Adelaide a 53-73% chance of victory over Collingwood at Adelaide Oval on Thursday with an average tipped margin of 11 points, but Hyperion gives Collingwood a 53% chance with a margin of 3 points.

squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 4, 2025
Finals Week 1 by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Sep 2, 2025
Really good article on footy tipping, and not just because I am extensively quoted. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08...
Why predicting winners in the footy is a lot harder than we think

Predicting who is going to win during each round of the AFL is tough, and even computer algorithms struggle to do better than the luckiest human.

abc.net.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 28, 2025
Congratulations to AFL Media journo Michael Whiting for the best pre-season ladder prediction of 2025! Got the entire top 8 right bar Sydney for Gold Coast (who he had 9th). And everyone but Crows within 4 rungs of their final position - that's a ripper! squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladd...
Rate My Ladder - Squiggle

How accurate was your ladder prediction? Drag teams to where you tipped them to finish, then check your score.

squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 27, 2025
Gold Coast by 40 with a 87% win chance. Gold Coast v Essendon @ Carrara #AFLSunsDons squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37092
Gold Coast v Essendon @ Carrara

All 27 models give Gold Coast a 67-95% chance of victory over Essendon at Carrara on Wednesday with an average tipped margin of 41 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 24, 2025
Brisbane Lions by 5 with a 56% win chance. Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn @ Gabba #AFLLionsHawks squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37294
Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn @ Gabba

22 models give Brisbane Lions a 51-65% chance of victory over Hawthorn at Gabba on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 6 points, but 5 models give Hawthorn a 50-61% chance with a margin of 3 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 24, 2025
Western Bulldogs by 24 with a 76% win chance. Western Bulldogs v Fremantle @ Docklands #AFLDogsFreo squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37290
Western Bulldogs v Fremantle @ Docklands

All 27 models give Western Bulldogs a 58-89% chance of victory over Fremantle at Docklands on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 26 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 24, 2025
Greater Western Sydney by 23 with a 76% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda @ Sydney Showground #AFLGiantsSaints squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37288
Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda @ Sydney Showground

All 27 models give Greater Western Sydney a 63-84% chance of victory over St Kilda at Sydney Showground on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 25 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 23, 2025
Sydney by 32 with a 80% win chance. West Coast v Sydney @ Perth Stadium #AFLEaglesSwans squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37296
West Coast v Sydney @ Perth Stadium

All 27 models give Sydney a 60-90% chance of victory over West Coast at Perth Stadium on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 29 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 23, 2025
Geelong by 48 with a 91% win chance. Richmond v Geelong @ M.C.G. #AFLTigersCats squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37292
Richmond v Geelong @ M.C.G.

All 27 models give Geelong a 72-97% chance of victory over Richmond at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 49 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 23, 2025
"Squiggle Football is shaping up as the most innovative AFL-inspired game in years — one that captures the heart of the sport without needing to step onto the field." www.untitledgaming.net/blog/squiggl...
Squiggle Football Game Preview — Untitled Gaming

Squiggle Football is the brainchild of the team behind squiggle.com.au , utilising real-world AFL stats and wrapping them in a card game experience that feels both fresh and familiar. This is the g...

untitledgaming.net

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 23, 2025
Adelaide by 32 with a 81% win chance. North Melbourne v Adelaide @ Docklands #AFLNorthCrows squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37289
North Melbourne v Adelaide @ Docklands

All 27 models give Adelaide a 63-92% chance of victory over North Melbourne at Docklands on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 32 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 22, 2025
Gold Coast by 17 with a 68% win chance. Port Adelaide v Gold Coast @ Adelaide Oval #AFLPowerSuns squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37295
Port Adelaide v Gold Coast @ Adelaide Oval

All 26 models give Gold Coast a 52-88% chance of victory over Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval on Friday with an average tipped margin of 19 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 22, 2025
Collingwood by 13 with a 66% win chance. Collingwood v Melbourne @ M.C.G. #AFLPiesDees squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37291
Collingwood v Melbourne @ M.C.G.

26 models give Collingwood a 56-79% chance of victory over Melbourne at the M.C.G. on Friday with an average tipped margin of 14 points, but AFL Scorigami gives Melbourne a 57% chance with a margin of 3 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 21, 2025
Carlton by 12 with a 64% win chance. Essendon v Carlton @ M.C.G. #AFLDonsBlues squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37293
Essendon v Carlton @ M.C.G.

All 26 models give Carlton a 55-73% chance of victory over Essendon at the M.C.G. on Thursday with an average tipped margin of 13 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 21, 2025
Round 24 by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

squiggle.com.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 17, 2025
Western Bulldogs by 63 with a 96% win chance. Western Bulldogs v West Coast @ Docklands #AFLDogsEagles squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37281
Western Bulldogs v West Coast @ Docklands

All 27 models give Western Bulldogs a 81-100% chance of victory over West Coast at Docklands on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 67 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 17, 2025
Geelong by 19 with a 70% win chance. Sydney v Geelong @ S.C.G. #AFLSwansCats squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37285
Sydney v Geelong @ S.C.G.

All 27 models give Geelong a 50-83% chance of victory over Sydney at the S.C.G. on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 17 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 17, 2025
North Melbourne by 3 with a 53% win chance. North Melbourne v Richmond @ Bellerive Oval #AFLNorthTigers squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37279
North Melbourne v Richmond @ Bellerive Oval

23 models give North Melbourne a 50-61% chance of victory over Richmond at Bellerive Oval on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but 4 models give Richmond a 53-57% chance with a margin of 3 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 17, 2025
Unbelievable reception for this game - thank you so much. Can't say how exciting this is after it's been a dream for so long.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 16, 2025
Adelaide by 14 with a 67% win chance. Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval #AFLCrowsPies squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37286
Adelaide v Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval

All 27 models give Adelaide a 57-77% chance of victory over Collingwood at Adelaide Oval on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 16 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 16, 2025
Hawthorn by 15 with a 67% win chance. Hawthorn v Melbourne @ M.C.G. #AFLHawksDees squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37283
Hawthorn v Melbourne @ M.C.G.

All 27 models give Hawthorn a 59-83% chance of victory over Melbourne at the M.C.G. on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 15 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 16, 2025
Carlton by 12 with a 65% win chance. Carlton v Port Adelaide @ Docklands #AFLBluesPower squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37282
Carlton v Port Adelaide @ Docklands

All 27 models give Carlton a 52-76% chance of victory over Port Adelaide at Docklands on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 13 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 16, 2025
Gold Coast by 13 with a 65% win chance. Gold Coast v Greater Western Sydney @ Carrara #AFLSunsGiants squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37284
Gold Coast v Greater Western Sydney @ Carrara

All 27 models give Gold Coast a 53-80% chance of victory over Greater Western Sydney at Carrara on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 15 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 15, 2025
Fremantle by 3 with a 53% win chance. Fremantle v Brisbane Lions @ Perth Stadium #AFLFreoLions squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37287
Fremantle v Brisbane Lions @ Perth Stadium

23 models give Fremantle a 50-67% chance of victory over Brisbane Lions at Perth Stadium on Friday with an average tipped margin of 5 points, but 4 models give Brisbane Lions a 50-59% chance with a margin of 4 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 15, 2025
St Kilda by 16 with a 67% win chance. Essendon v St Kilda @ Docklands #AFLDonsSaints squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37280
Essendon v St Kilda @ Docklands

All 26 models give St Kilda a 53-84% chance of victory over Essendon at Docklands on Friday with an average tipped margin of 16 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 15, 2025
Round 23 by the models. https://squiggle.com.au
Squiggle

AFL Prediction & Analysis

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 14, 2025
IT'S OUT!! store.steampowered.com/app/1543960/...
Save 20% on Squiggle Football on Steam

Squiggle Football is a deck-building football management roguelike, where you create a team and form powerful combinations of players, coaches, tactics and culture. Recruit, trade & innovate throu...

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Reposted by Max Barry
Tony Corke handle.invalid · Aug 14, 2025
Done @squiggle.au

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 10, 2025
Adelaide by 48 with a 90% win chance. West Coast v Adelaide @ Perth Stadium #AFLEaglesCrows squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37278
West Coast v Adelaide @ Perth Stadium

All 27 models give Adelaide a 68-97% chance of victory over West Coast at Perth Stadium on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 50 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 10, 2025
Western Bulldogs by 17 with a 69% win chance. Melbourne v Western Bulldogs @ M.C.G. #AFLDeesDogs squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37274
Melbourne v Western Bulldogs @ M.C.G.

All 27 models give Western Bulldogs a 58-86% chance of victory over Melbourne at the M.C.G. on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 21 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 10, 2025
Greater Western Sydney by 35 with a 83% win chance. Greater Western Sydney v North Melbourne @ Manuka Oval #AFLGiantsNorth squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37271
Greater Western Sydney v North Melbourne @ Manuka Oval

All 27 models give Greater Western Sydney a 69-94% chance of victory over North Melbourne at Manuka Oval on Sunday with an average tipped margin of 36 points.

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Max Barry squiggle.au · Aug 9, 2025
Fremantle by 11 with a 62% win chance. Port Adelaide v Fremantle @ Adelaide Oval #AFLPowerFreo squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=37277
Port Adelaide v Fremantle @ Adelaide Oval

25 models give Fremantle a 50-95% chance of victory over Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval on Saturday with an average tipped margin of 15 points, but AFL Lab and Squiggle give Port Adelaide a 51-55% chance with a margin of 2 points.

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