- A viral claim from a Japanese anti-mRNA vaccine group says: “The more shots you get, the sooner you die.” It’s based on a fundamental error in interpreting data. Here’s why this conclusion doesn’t hold up: 🔗 science.feedback.org/review/inade... 1/7
- One of their graphs compared mortality rates in vaccinated vs. unvaccinated people. It looked like vaccinated people had higher mortality. But that conclusion ignores a crucial question. 👇 2/7
- Before believing what you see, ask: 👉 Are the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups comparable in other factors that affect mortality? 3/7Aug 8, 2025 08:41
- Why this matters: - Mortality rates rise with age. - People with serious illnesses tend to have higher mortality. → If vaccinated people are, on average, older or sicker, their mortality rate will be higher regardless of vaccination. 4/7
- If you want to know whether vaccination affects mortality, you must rule out other explanations –like differences in age or health status– before blaming the vaccine. 5/7
- That means comparing groups that are similar in every key way except vaccination status If you skip this, you can create the illusion of a link between vaccination & death As @jsm2334.bsky.social said: “The claim is based on misinterpretation and failure to adjust for obvious age confounding” 6/7
- Don’t be misled by illusory associations. When interpreting data, compare 🍎 to 🍎, not 🍎 to 🍊. Learn more in Science Feedback’s review: 🔗 science.feedback.org/review/inade... 7/7