Positive Residual
Sports analytics and strategy. Creating tools for winning teams in basketball, baseball, and soccer. Previous contributions: Nylon Calculus, Cleaning the Glass, and The Ringer.
http://positiveresidual.com
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- This strikeout pitch by Alex Vesia against Manny Machado is similar in location to the one in the NLDS last postseason. It’s right in the hands, knotting the batter up with two strikes.
- The NBA Calendar App has been updated with the 2025-26 regular season schedule. Here are the teams with the toughest schedules. positiveresidual.com/shiny/nba/ #NBASky
- The NBA Calendar app will be updated upon the release of the 2025-26 regular season schedule: positiveresidual.com/shiny/nba/ #NBASky
- Shohei Ohtani vs. Mike Trout — complete pitch sequence. Ohtani struck him out on a full-count sweeper, a similar pitch to the one in the World Baseball Classic, except it was inside.
- The Dodgers are 6-13 against the NL Central — by far, the worst record by a division leader against a specific division. The only other teams with losing records are: Detroit: 9-12 vs AL Central Philadelphia: 11-13 vs NL Central
- 2025 NBA Finals, Game 7 Thread: Andrew Nembhard makes his presence felt early in the first quarter. He puts up the first two points of the game on a pull-up at the elbow, then has a great defensive possession against SGA here. #NBASky
- LeBron’s next contract: $400 million, with $380 million deferred through 2050.
- Incredible defensive play in the clutch by Myles Turner. Amazing. #NBASky
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- The last 22.8 seconds of NBA Finals Game 1 — did we expect anything else? Shai misses the midrange fadeaway, Indiana bypasses the timeout, and Tyrese Haliburton knocks down the clutch jumper, just as he has done throughout the playoffs. Incredible. #NBASky
- Multiple views of Max Muncy’s 9th inning, game-tying home run, including the home-plate perspective. He got all of it.
- Incredible shooting from the Pacers to clinch their Finals berth: 67% true shooting (their highest in the series) while making over half of their 3s. Two-thirds of their baskets were assisted including 14 of 17 from deep. #NBASky
- Timberwolves-Thunder Game 5: Minnesota fails to break double digits in the first quarter. They had just 9 points on 24 possessions. #NBASky
- Tyrese Haliburton's exceptional Game 4: 32 points on 26 attempts and 29% usage, including 5/12 from deep. All of his 15 assists led to shots in the paint or 3s. He also had 12 boards, 4 steals, and 0 turnovers. Haliburton lived up to his top-5 offensive mark (dunksandthrees.com/epm/actual). #NBASky
- Knicks-Pacers Game 4: At the half, Indiana has the edge in shooting efficiency and turnovers, while New York has the edge in offensive rebounding and free throws. The Pacers' offensive pace is under 12 seconds per possession; the Knicks are close to 15. AST-to-TOV: IND at 3.4, NYK at 1. #NBASky
- The Knicks had a 99% win probability as late as the 58-second mark of regulation, when they went up by 9 points on a Jalen Brunson layup. The rest was history. Incredible comeback by the Pacers. #NBASky www.espn.com/nba/game/_/g...
- Thread: Great end-of-game defense by the Atlanta Dream to escape with the win in Indiana. The Fever went with a variation of “Winner.” The Dream defended the cross screen and the weakside superbly, including a clutch block by Nia Coffey. #WNBASky
- Free throws proved to be the Fever's undoing against the Dream. Indiana converted just 16/26, including an 0/4 night for Natasha Howard, who had her opportunities down the stretch, and Aliyah Boston's lone miss in crunchtime. Another note: Atlanta had a sizable edge in 3-point frequency. #WNBASky
- Shohei Ohtani leadoff homer (left field view). 108 MPH exit velocity, 403 feet