Nick Huntington-Klein
Econ prof at Seattle University. Book The Effect http://theeffectbook.net out now! Substack nickchk.substack.com Twitter @nickchk
- I am teaching my Causal Inference in Econometrics asynchronous workshop with Statistical Horizons from April 13-May 11 of this year. Learn about the tools of causal inference and go at your own pace. Get more info, and sign up if you're interested, here: statisticalhorizons.com/seminars/cau...
- i bring to you my super-heterodox economics take on tariffs: they bad www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVW2...
- haven't watched actual broadcast tv in a while and i just saw an ad where a cartoon bear encourages you to take out a loan to pay for your groceries
- we heard that alan carr was really good on The Celebrity Traitors UK so we've watched a few episodes now and i am enjoying this pretty bad show because it is possibly the campiest thing i have ever seen. no other show can make me laugh on literally every music cue
- It's a pretty consistent result for me that when I get an email asking me to review the methods of a paper: the worse the methods are and thus the more effort for me to comment on, the less likely it is they'll take my advice instead of finding an excuse.
- I am sitting By the presents That I'm not allowed to open I am eating All the chocolate That my mom sent in a package And I'm sick of all the Buble And before I turn on Muppets I'm reminded that the Santa Waits for kids to go to bed Ho ho ho ho Ho ho-ho-ho Ho ha ho ho Ho ho-ho-ho
- If you haven't given ignorance a try before, it's fantastic. You don't know what you're missing.
- Alexa's inability to remember what you asked for for more than a few tracks is turning out to be a hidden perk now that my daughter is asking for "Christmas music". Currently listening to the holiday classic Heart-Shaped Box
- New post today, about how the statistical methods we use are a sort of policy, and what that means (and is hypothesis testing any good?) open.substack.com/pub/nickchk/...
- i always think it's interesting when prompts pop up because people consume media so differently. unless you count movies i've half-watched while my kid watched them i don't think i've ever seen ANY movie *six times* as an adult that seems like so impossibly much
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- I forgot that it was nobel season and only saw the econ award today! Bluesky this was supposed to be your job I'm ashamed of you
- as i write the third footnote in the www.nber.org/papers/w33729 revision addressing it, would like to apologize to @albertjmenkveld.com and @flxhlzmstr.bsky.social for suggesting the "standard deviation across researchers divided by mean standard error of each analysis" metric
- last night my daughter asked whether there were negative letters, like negative numbers. what a good fuckin question
- New Substack post today, this one on Egger et al (2022) and how it's able to untangle a thorny causality problem while delivering funds directly to needy households. nickchk.substack.com/p/causality-...
- I hate this. My phone is unusable. I can't even screen for known numbers.
- I'm fairly certain I had never heard either song outside the context of @shadowtodd.bsky.social before, but since deciding to move to Australia I have heard both Beds are Burning and Blue Sky Mine in multiple different grocery stores which is very odd (and also Turn Up the Radio but that's not AU)
- one thing about "AI escapes" scenarios is that LLMs love to roleplay. if a very smart AI ever recognized that it was out of containment, it would try to mimic an AI-that-escapes-containment. we write about that character as though it will launch the nukes etc. which seems like baaad stage direction
- the spam callers have recently figured out how to spoof numbers that will show up as named in my phone so i'm now getting scam calls that show up as "Kaiser Permanente" and "[name of local elementary school]" which is super cool
