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@mpaarlberg.bsky.social thread here. Venezuela’s situation is a hundred times messier than Panama. It’s possible that civil war there is avoided, but the short term looks very rough, especially if conservative elites view this as a victory & reject any near-term compromise or power-sharing
If this is true, the closest comparison for the Venezuela operation isn't Iraq but Panama. In both cases, the invasion was portrayed as a police action to capture a head of state to stand trial in the US for drug trafficking...