John Kenny
Postdoctoral researcher at the University of East Anglia
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- Looking forward to editing this issue on forecasting the 2026 midterms with @debraleiter.bsky.social Submissions using established or novel methodologies are welcome. Peer review will be accelerated to enable publication of accepted articles before the election. If interested, please get in touch!
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- Reposted by John KennyNew paper: CAST's Dr John Kenny & Prof Steve Fisher's journal article on "Europeans’ climate consciousness: increased yet more politicised" was published last month, using the European Social Survey from 2016-17 and 2020-22 📣 Read the paper 👇 doi.org/10.1080/0964... Key findings thread 🧵
- Reposted by John KennyNew paper, with @johnkenny.bsky.social, shows politicisation of climate change attitudes in Europe from 2016 to 2022 increased mostly because of greater climate consciousness among those on the left rather than less among those on the right: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
- New paper out with @stevefisher.bsky.social at @environmentalpol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social from 2016-17 and 2020-22 to show how climate worry rose across Europe, and in Western Europe especially so for left individuals and voters of left parties. doi.org/10.1080/0964...
- Very pleased to see our new article out in JEPOP. It details some of the fascinating insights we gleaned from digitalising and cleaning almost 800 individual-level polls carried out by Gallup in Britain between 1955-1991.
- For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
- Reposted by John KennyNew blog post & case study: CAST affiliate, Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) explores his climate change public opinion research and how his framework is shaping the design of public opinion surveys, on the UK Data Service's (@ukdsimpact.bsky.social) website. 📣 Read the blog post 👇
- Was delighted to work on this impact case study with @ukdsimpact.bsky.social, which is based on our recent @environmentalpol.bsky.social article (doi.org/10.1080/0964...). @cast-centre.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @ueaenv.bsky.social
- 🎉New impact case study🎉 We are excited to share our latest case study developed in collaboration with @johnkenny.bsky.social, which spotlights his framework for classifying climate change questions used in public opinion surveys and it's impact journey. ukdataservice.ac.uk/case-study/c...
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Super excited to finally see this project out in the wild! What a journey it's been! Looking forward to see how people will use this awesome data. See thread below for more details from @jacobnyrup.bsky.social.- Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021. This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way 🙏 A short 🧵
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- Reposted by John KennyAs part of our Infra4NextGen project, @ess-survey.bsky.social has just released a new data summary that brings together insights from the European Social Survey, European Values Study, and the International Social Survey Programme... infra4nextgen.com/wp-content/u... (1/)
- New paper with @lucasgeese.bsky.social at @commsearth.nature.com UK MPs + publics in Britain, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions when surveyed in 2023. @tyndallcentre.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social rdcu.be/eI4J3
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- Our review article on the use of climate change questions in public opinion surveys is now available in the current issue of Environmental Politics.
- Reposted by John Kenny📢 New Publication 📢 📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries? (with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto) Short 🧵 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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- New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
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- Reposted by John KennyCheck out the Guest Editors' Note from our April Issue, written by @johnkenny.bsky.social , @sofiabrei.bsky.social , and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. It is available here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/pol/curr...
- In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public. @cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social
- Reposted by John KennyMy new post @deltapoll.bsky.social deltapoll.co.uk/net-zero-sce... Badenoch said "net zero is impossible”. But 52% approve, 18% disapprove, of the net zero 2050 law. Even +26 point net approval among Con voters. However, disapproval up from 8% in 2019 to 18% now. Thread 1/...
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- Reposted by John KennyTechnological change has had important consequences for labour markets in recent decades. What about its electoral consequences? In this new article in EJPR, we use administrative data to follow nearly a million workers over 16 years to study this. 🧵 ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
- Delighted to see our new article published in International Journal of Forecasting. For those without a subscription, free access is available until May 7 through the link below. authors.elsevier.com/c/1knSqcUIKd...
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- Reposted by John Kenny📚 New articles on authenticity! Honored to be part of this special issue edited by @johnkenny.bsky.social, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & M. Lewis-Beck in @polityalsberuf.bsky.social. 👇 🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734727 with Dennis Steffan 🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734726 with Haye Stein & @inesengelmann.bsky.social
- The articles from the forthcoming SI on Political Authenticity - edited by myself, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck - at @polityalsberuf.bsky.social are now online. In the introduction (doi.org/10.1086/734784) we set out its contribution and summarise each article 1/12
- Reposted by John Kenny✏️ The Authentic A**hole: Candidate Consistency, Causality, and the Vote Check the article by @sofiabrei.bsky.social, IBEI; John Kenny, @uniofeastanglia.bsky.social; @jaclarner.bsky.social, @cardiffuni.bsky.social; Dieter Stiers, KU Leuven; & Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa. 🔎 t.ly/WQXdT
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- Reposted by John KennyNew fun pub - The Authentic A**hole (particularly proud of getting title accepted) ✅ Politicians viewed as authentic when they stick to their positions despite pressure ✅ True even when voters disagree with those positions ✅ Authenticity translates to electoral advantage tinyurl.com/25us7y7z
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- Reposted by John Kenny🚨 EPOP 2025 Call for papers now open! 🚨 Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.
- The articles from the forthcoming SI on Political Authenticity - edited by myself, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck - at @polityalsberuf.bsky.social are now online. In the introduction (doi.org/10.1086/734784) we set out its contribution and summarise each article 1/12
- In his article (doi.org/10.1086/734728), @michaelserazio.bsky.social traces the roots of political authenticity and illustrates how political authenticity gets constructed in contemporary USA, based on interviews with 28 high-level professionals working in the sphere of political campaigning 2/12
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- New in @environmentalpol.bsky.social! Reviewing over 300 surveys, we provide a guide on navigating the many concepts measured in climate change public opinion research over 4 decades. It includes the resource of an over 200 page fully-searchable appendix with all questions!! doi.org/10.1080/0964...
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