Democrats have a good chance at flipping the House, but a narrow path to flipping the Senate that would require them to hold onto GA, MI & NH & flip at least 4 GOP-held seats, at least 2 of which would have to come from red states.
Their best chances outside NC & ME are OH, AK, TX & IA.
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1️⃣/4️⃣
Ossoff is the only incumbent facing a tough re-election.
Pappas & Cooper will likely win NH & NC.
ME & MI will depend on who the nominees are.
OH & AK will likely be tossups with Brown & Peltola as the Democratic nominees, and the long shots are TX, IA & Osborn’s independent run in NE.
2️⃣/4️⃣
If Democrats can flip the House, it’d force the GOP to compromise on the budget, CRs & any other legislation.
If Democrats flip both, in addition to chairing all committees, it’d force Thomas to decide whether to retire in November or remain on the bench & let them block judicial confirmations.
3️⃣/4️⃣
Feb 5, 2026 02:07Democrats won’t be able to pass any real legislation without veto-proof majorities or support, but they can prevent more bills like the BBB from being passed & use the committees in both chambers appropriately to conduct oversight.
How much harm can be reduced-2029 is entirely up to the voters.
4️⃣/4️⃣
