Let’s think through how ICE/BP thugs doing voter intimidation could possibly swing the midterms.
Have to pick close races, pick the right precincts, not inspire backlash, and do all that in enough places to overcome a likely national wave.
They’ll try, it’s wrong, but I second the anti-doomerism.
My point here is that knee-jerk doomerism rests on not doing the actual analysis that needs to be done.
Might there be vulnerable-R seats with heavy Hispanic representation where targeted polling station patrols are likely to suppress D more than R? Maybe! But can't just assert the doom.
Among other things, it’s not clear to me that given the White House info environment they’d correctly identify close races
Feb 4, 2026 19:48