Gemma Tetlow
Chief Economist, Institute for Government
Formerly Economics Correspondent at the Financial Times and Programme Director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowFAO business case nerds: government are finally getting round to publishing business cases. This has been a long time coming - I remember working on ideas around this over three years ago. So well done to the government for actually getting on with it. www.gov.uk/government/c...
- This looks like an exciting opportunity for the right person - Programme Manager for the Huth Initiative for a New Political Economy at LSE jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowA strong OBR is in everyone’s interests In our latest comment, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social tells us why replacing Richard Hughes with someone seen as more compliant to the government’s views would bring a high cost to the government and the country www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/stro...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowReeves needs to avoid a patsy OBR Chair. (to paraphrase) New @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @instituteforgovernment.org.uk blog on the need to maintain a strong, independent institution, even if its very annoying sometimes www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/stro...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowI'm really delighted to announce that- in a restructure of the @instituteforgovernment.org.uk’s senior team - I've appointed @gemmatetlow.bsky.social to the new role of Executive Director of Research & Innovation & @alexgathomas.bsky.social to the new role of Executive Director of Impact & Influence
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow‼️Budget week is finally here, which means one thing... 🤓Our economics panel will be meeting to unpack what's in the Autumn Statement With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social Sign up👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowLIVE BLOG | Autumn budget 2025 🚨 As Rachel Reeves prepares to announce tax measures, what formal announcements have we had so far and what can we expect in the next 24 hours? Follow our live blog for our analysis of the chancellor's plans www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
- In a new departure, we @instituteforgovernment.org.uk are going to be live blogging the Budget all through tomorrow. The live blog is now live and we will be sharing our pre-Budget thoughts there, followed by responses once we hear the CX's speech www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/live-blog/au...
- Do follow along for great insights from @jillongovt.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social and @martha-ford.bsky.social
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowWork with us! 🚨 We are looking for a Partnerships Manager to lead the business function within our partnerships team. ⏰ Applications close on Monday 8 December at 11:00. Find out more about the role and how to apply www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowWhat are the legal implications of Labour’s new asylum reforms? Former permanent secretary of the Government Legal Department @sirjjkc.bsky.social examines some of the main legal implications of the proposals www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/lega...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowLooking forward to speaking at @raeng.org.uk Policy Fellowships Showcase on Monday! Do sign up to join us!
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowLooking forward to this discussion later - do join us at 12.30
- This afternoon my colleagues at @instituteforgovernment.org.uk will be discussing the second covid inquiry report. Join us online at lunchtime & bring your questions - see you there! www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/covid-...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowAs the covid inquiry gears up for Module 9 on economic policy, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have a new @ukri.org-funded @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report out on Epi-econ modelling for pandemics. We set out why govt needs to invest now 1/🧵 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowNEW REPORT | Combined epidemiological and economic modelling: How can government better prepare for future pandemics? @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @shaina-sangha.bsky.social reveal how the government needs to improve its use of modelling. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- Hot on the heels of yesterday's Covid inquiry report on decision making, @shaina-sangha.bsky.social and I have a new report out today looking at how combined epidemiological-economic modelling could help government better prepare for future pandemics www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- I know this might sound niche but one key problem during Covid was a failure to join up public health expertise and economics - too often this was seen as a straight trade-off, rather than interacting systems where decisions in one feed back to the other.
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View full threadThank you to colleagues @imperial-jameel.bsky.social and @lshtm.bsky.social for their support on this work, and to @ukri.org for funding. Thanks also to the many experts who spoke to us and to IfG colleagues for reviewing (and improving!) earlier drafts of the paper.
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow📆 ONE WEEK TO GO 📆 🍂 Once again our expert economics panel are meeting to dissect the details of the chancellor's Autumn Statement With @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @benchu.bsky.social Sign up👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowNEW: Report from me and @nehaldavison.bsky.social on how and why boys from low-income families get left behind in their early years 🧵⬇️ www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowNEW: Labour inherited public services in crisis. Performance had fallen, investment had been cut + spending plans were undeliverable. It's made some progress, providing stability and positive long-term plans. But it has been undermined by poor prep in opposition and lack of co-ordination in govt 🧵
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowHere's a chart of the marginal tax rate for someone with two kids. They pay 53% tax on every £ they earn between £60k and £80k. 62% on every £ they earn between £100k and £125k. 9% more if they've a student loan This is from our tax calculator: buff.ly/CFoExUX
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowIn two weeks' time, Rachel Reeves will deliver her second budget as chancellor. Join us online on 26 November for our instant reaction to the chancellor's plan for the economy - with @danhaile.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/autumn...
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow🚨 NEW EVENT 🚨 We've assembled our experts economics panel to dissect the details of the Chancellor's budget 💻 Online 📆 Thurs 27 Nov, 1pm GMT With @jillongovt.bsky.social, @jdportes.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, @benchu.bsky.social & @anandmenon.bsky.social ukandeu.ac.uk/events/ukice...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowHas Rachel Reeves rolled the budget pitch? And how did former chancellors manage expectations? Fascinating @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast with @stewartwood.bsky.social Giles Winn @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @jillongovt.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
- A very interesting new report, coordinated by @centaxuk.bsky.social, is co-authored by nine think tanks from across the political spectrum and sets out 7 packages of tax reform that all agree would make the UK tax system "fairer, more effective and more pro-growth” centax.org.uk/tax-reforms-...
- For too long, growth-enhancing tax reforms have been prevented by the intense political heat that surrounds any such changes. This new report should help create space for this and future governments to make much-needed improvements www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
- I discuss this - and other questions about how chancellors can roll the pitch for Budget tax changes - in this week's @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast, with @jillongovt.bsky.social and former SpAds Giles Winn and Stewart Wood www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/rach...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowCross-party agreement can create political space for tax reform It is time to take the political heat out of attempts to reform the tax system, says @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/cros...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowGuardian article here: www.theguardian.com/politics/202... And top tips on how to do tax reform from @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowGood to see Reeves defending the importance of SR settlements (where changes should be avoided). But disappointing if this means using highly optimistic assumptions re. future tech efficiencies (eg £45bn) to pencil in spending cuts beyond the SR period rather than confronting the need for tax reform
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowIfG Chief Economist @gemmatetlow.bsky.social outlines that currently pension contributions make up around 20% of the total public sector remuneration package, compared to 8% in the private sector. Is this the most effective balance and does there need to be flexibility? #Lab25
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowShould public sector pay and pensions be reformed? Join us at #Lab25 at 15:45 to hear from @timleunig.bsky.social @fdagensec.bsky.social @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social, Paul Whiteman and @drbenpaxton.bsky.social - Clyde Room, ACC www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...
- Join us at 15:45 at LPC to discuss how public sector pay and pensions might be reformed. With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @timleunig.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and Paul Whiteman
- As trailed in the papers earlier, Reeves's speech did roll the pitch for tax rises in the Budget - pointing to 14 years of weak growth creating a fiscal problem and the foolhardiness of simply ignoring fiscal constraints (she said there was "nothing progressive" about that)...
- ...but no indication of which taxes might rise. Understandable that CX cannot pre-empt Budget announcements in conference speech but it does mean the biggest questions facing the CX were left unanswered today. Today's announcements (mainly details on youth guarantee) were small.
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowFollow our autumn budget 2025 page for more in the lead up to Reeves' second budget as chancellor on Weds 26 November www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/autumn-budge... Follow the team @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @tompope.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowNew @instituteforgovernment.org.uk report by me, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social on how Reeves should approach tax this Autumn With tax rises inevitable, Reeves should reject path of least resistance and embrace tax reform 1/3 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowGreat article from Meg Hillier, and a message more politicians need to hear. Pinning all responsibility for the UK's fiscal problems on the OBR is not only misguided, but risks damaging economic and fiscal credibility
- Very good piece from Meg Hillier on the dangers of political attacks on independent institutions like the OBR on.ft.com/3VV7p5Y The OBR is not to blame for weak growth
- If you have experience of using the customer relationship management software Zoho and would like to work with friendly, motivated colleagues to help share our research far and wide, do consider applying for this opening in our comms team...
- Do you have experience of using Zoho CRM? Applications are now open to join our team as a CRM Executive. 📆 Closing date: Wednesday 15 October Find out more about the role and how to apply 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/about-us/car...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowHow can the industrial strategy drive growth? 📆 Monday 29 Sept | 09:00–10:00 Join us at the Labour conference in Liverpool for our event with @praneshippr.bsky.social @gilesyb.bsky.social @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow#LAB25 | Should public sector pay and pensions be reformed? With Dave Penman @fdaunion.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social More speakers will be announced soon👁️🗨️ www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/ifg-la...
- Very good piece from Meg Hillier on the dangers of political attacks on independent institutions like the OBR on.ft.com/3VV7p5Y The OBR is not to blame for weak growth
- @resfoundation.bsky.social are recruiting for three new researcher/economist roles at various levels of seniority. Applications close 19 Sept. Exciting opportunity to join a great thinktank improving living standards for those on low-to-middle incomes www.resolutionfoundation.org/about-us/opp...
- How can the government avoid a repeat of this year’s welfare reform debacle? www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/gove...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowThe original pensions commission is the single most effective independent inquiry of the last few decades. @jillongovt.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social and I have written on what the new pensions commission announced this week can learn from the original
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowWhat can the new Pensions Commission learn from its 2000s predecessor? @jillongovt.bsky.social @njdavies.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social argue that the commission will need Treasury support to have as big an impact as the Turner Commission www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/new-...
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow[This post could not be retrieved]
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowPODCAST 🎤 The scandal and the superinjunction @lucyfisher.ft.com joins @cathhaddon.bsky.social @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @alexgathomas.bsky.social to discuss the Afghan data leak and how the state reacts when mistakes are made. Plus: Rachel Reeves' speech and voting reforms zurl.co/Hct1f
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowEVENT: Labour’s first year in power: is this still a mission-driven government? Join our event with @instituteforgovernment.org.uk tomorrow at 10:30am chaired by @drhannahwhite.bsky.social with @helenmiller.bsky.social, @gemmatetlow.bsky.social & @stephenkb.bsky.social: ifs.org.uk/events/labou...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowLabour’s first year: Keir Starmer’s government is less than the sum of its parts Keir Starmer has yet to set out a clear governing philosophy, says @drhannahwhite.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/labo...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowGreat comment piece by Nick Timmins for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk on the 10 Year Health Plan He finds lots of familiar ideas but argues they could be frustrated by familiar problems. Like him, I really worry that plans to better integrate health service will be derailed by structural changes
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowReeves has made big fiscal choices but left herself little room for manoeuvre Having such little ‘headroom’ has left the chancellor at the mercy of events, argues @gemmatetlow.bsky.social Read more on fiscal policy making in the last year👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/one-...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowHard to overstate how much goodwill the government has just managed to burn through with so many different groups — all in a totally unnecessary act of self-sabotage.
- If you missed our @instituteforgovernment.org.uk webinar this afternoon, with our take on the Spending Review, you can listen/watch back here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s... with @njdavies.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and @jillongovt.bsky.social
- Also available on our podcast channel podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/w...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowHuge thanks to @gemmatetlow.bsky.social @danhaile.bsky.social @drbenpaxton.bsky.social @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social @njdavies.bsky.social @rebeccamckee.bsky.social @amberdellar.bsky.social Do listen back to our webinar, now available as a podcast! podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/i... 7/7
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowOur @instituteforgovernment.org.uk spending review analysis is out! Take a read here www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen... Our key takeaways: 1/7
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowInterestingly MHCLG has specifically allocated a small amount of its projected efficiency gains to its plans to simplify the local government funding landscape
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow"The government’s new framework for public service reform – focusing on integration, prevention and devolution – is spot on." @njdavies.bsky.social reacts to the spending review and the govt's public service reform agenda. Follow for more analysis www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/our-work/top...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowWhat does the spending review reveal about Labour's missions? @drbenpaxton.bsky.social says the six milestones set out last year are less prominent in the government’s overarching strategy. Join our webinar with Ben and other IfG experts at 4pm www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowAh this is interesting devo news. London will get an integrated settlement after all from next year. It'll be interesting to see how the model differs in London compared to the combined authorities, and whether it'll require constitutional change in the GLA-Council relationship to make it work
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowAnd on public services:
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowSome top level views on the SR from me and other @instituteforgovernment.org.uk colleagues 1/2
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow"Defence, transport and the Department for Business and Trade were the big capital spending winners in this spending review..." @gemmatetlow.bsky.social gives her verdict on today's spending review. Join us live at 4pm for more instant reaction 📺 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/event/2025-s...
- Reposted by Gemma TetlowBrilliant new @instituteforgovernment.org.uk analysis of what to look out for in the Spending Review. Essential reading before Rachel Reeves' big day. www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/spen...
- Reposted by Gemma Tetlow🚨 OUT NOW 🚨 How do spending reviews work? 💷 Tory MP John Glen, former minister Brandon Lewis, former special adviser Sonia Khan and economists @tompope.bsky.social & @beeboileau.bsky.social join @alaintolhurst.bsky.social to look behind the Treasury's spending plans 🎧 Listen here: pod.fo/e/2e0742
