Jakub Parusinski
Head of @ki-insights.bsky.social at @kyivindependent.com and Director at @thefixmedia.bsky.social. Focus on Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Media Tech and Business
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- Coercive mobilization fuels social tensions and anti-UA propaganda, making it a target for RU intelligence Ops But in a rare piece of good news, it seems mobilization linked violence/ terrorism actually declined in 2025 See the @ki-insights.bsky.social report: kyivindependent.com/what-the-dat...
- In which I float that the media sector consolidating and producing a few Murdoch-like figures is the lesser evil compared to a gradual erosion of the 4th estate and @marcelakunova.bsky.social brings me back to reality with sane and thoughtful arguments 😅
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- Another big week ahead for Ukraine-watchers. Here's 7 things to look forward to (head over to @ki-insights.bsky.social or sign-up to The Week Ahead to stay up to date mailchi.mp/kyivindepend...) 🧵
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- As the Operation Midas scandal was breaking, I spoke to Anatolii about the risks Ukraine was facing. Sadly, grim forecasts seem to be coming true - Ukraine is at its most vulnerable since the winter of 2022/2023 with grave challenges ahead
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- Why attend the G20 when all that matters is G2 (or 2.5)
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- Reposted by Jakub ParusinskiNew from The Fix – Redkollegia is an independent media award dedicated to recognizing high-quality Russian journalism. But how does it operate in wartime?
- The real question is how many top secret government Signal chats have randos who are *not* chief editors of major news publications 👊🇺🇸🔥
- The National Security Council is looking into how Goldberg was added for a second day now 😳 Let me solve the mystery: Waltz typed 'J' and Jeffrey was right next to JD You're welcome
- Worth noting - much of Trump 2s political capital, meant to be used on reshaping global order, has been squandered in Ukraine He's lost a lot of cards
- The big question - just how much space is between US and Russian negotiators and to what extent is a facade still meaningful
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- The answer - immediately thehill.com/newsletters/...
- How soon till this gets blamed at "an adversary" of the current administration (e.g. Ukraine)?
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- A key theme of Trump-2 will be growing frustration and surprise that - while they try to usher in multipolarity "on their terms" and downsize US state capacity - international actors become less responsive to US demands
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- Trump posts this the day his envoy Kellogg arrives in Kyiv 🤯 (in truth KK has already been sidelined by Russia and internally). Relatively speaking, one of the more pro-Ukraine voices in the Trump administration
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- Make no mistake - Trump wants regime change in Kyiv because Zelensky didn't sign an extortionate deal (NB - this will make Zelensky more popular, Ukrainians hate being told who to vote for by external bullies. Theres been 2 revolutions in the past 2 decades)
- Europe can send Ukraine 2.5x what North Korea sent Russia (to fight, mind you, not keep the peace)
- If Europe can't muster 50K troops then: - the US is kind of right and they're not useful allies - it's a signal for Russia to invade It doesn't get much clearer There's a high chance Europe will be at war (direct not hybrid) in the next few years. It still has the luxury of picking where and when
- Always great to see European support for Ukraine. But for context - this is probably a week's worth of supplies
- A major factor the Trump team is overlooking is that withdrawing from Ukraine and Europe means they also lose their leverage/ control over the situation Once that is gone, sanctions-tariffs and security pressure are the only options. And China starts looking like a more promising partner
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- How informal can it be if there's a sign in front
