Igor Grossmann, PhD
Professor of psychology. Study culture and societal change, wisdom, good judgment (and lack thereof), forecasting, and new methods. Forecasting Collaborative founder | 🇺🇦🇩🇪🇺🇸🇨🇦 Psych Inquiry Editor. igorgrossmann.com OnWisdompodcast.com
- Feb 26, Graduate College: #AI & #Ethics Conference events.ucalgary.ca/gradcollege/... Excited to visit @ucalgary.bsky.social - for the first time - to discuss #AIethics & #wisdom. Btw, graduate students are invited to submit posters for an interactive poster session as part of the conference.
- Reposted by Igor Grossmann, PhDWe've got ISSUES. Literally. We scraped >100k special issues & over 1 million articles to bring you a PISS-poor paper. We quantify just how many excess papers are published by guest editors abusing special issues to boost their CVs. How bad is it & what can we do? arxiv.org/abs/2601.07563 A 🧵 1/n
- 1/ “Ethics-first” is a comfort slogan, not a theory of wisdom in STEM #education. We argue you don’t need a moral “blueprint” before you can reason wisely in STEM contexts. The bottleneck is often #metacognitive: noticing uncertainty, checking your frame, integrating other perspectives.
- Why you’re wise on Tuesday and foolish on Sunday: Practising #wisdom in uncertain times - a brief sunday read & a mild rant against "one trick" gurus & substakers. theconversation.com/why-youre-wi... @theconversation.com
- Can we predict the past? 🔮 New open-access paper in American Historical Review proposes 'Retrodiction'—using gaps in the archival record to test historical theories. Interdisciplinary collab feat. David Gill, Marc Trachtenberg, Phil Tetlock, Cendri Hutcherson, and more 🧵👇
- 🚨 New Paper Alert 🚨 "Understanding & Predicting Cultural Change" is accepted at Advances in Experimental Social Psychology! Varnum & I argue that Psychology cannot afford to be blind to time. We need to move from cross-sectional snapshots to dynamic time-series movies. 🧵👇
- Cultural psychology often explains differences using distant history. But if history drives psychology, we should track changes over time and test our causal models against future data. We introduce an "Ecological Time-Series Approach" to test these dynamics rigorously.
- International students: Were you told "no" to Waterloo recently due to recruitment bans? The door just swung back open. 🚪🔓 Canada just launched the Impact+ Research Training Awards (CIRTA), and my lab is looking for the best global talent to join us. (1/4)
- Wrapping up the year feeling very grateful for the brilliant team at the Wisdom & Culture Lab (plus alumni!). End-of-term outing to Toronto’s St. Lawrence Market + the Distillery District—great convos, great company, great snacks. Happy Holidays! 🎓✨🍁
- Are you curious about the results of our #wisdomturingtest? Want to find out who was the AI? If so, tune-in to the second part of the ON WISDOM podcast on the "Wisdom Turing Test," with the amazing @steverathje.bsky.social : onwisdompodcast.fireside.fm/67 #TuringTest #ChineseRoom #AIsycophancy
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- Enjoyed talking to David Cooper on The Last Show about how to make wise choices @dtcooper.bsky.social podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/i...
- Very much enjoyed joining @daviddesteno.bsky.social on his podcast. I think its the first time the classic contemplative practices are juxtaposed with modern wisdom science. Tune in!
- My colleague Falk Lieder and I are hiring a new post-doc at UCLA to join the #WiseJudgementConsortium. The ad is here: recruit.apo.ucla.edu/JPF10650
- Share your thoughts who is an Ai and who is wiser here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... Can you pass the #WisdomTuringTest?
- Ever heard of the #Wisdom #TuringTest? I thought of creating one for the new #OnWisdom #postcast episode. This is a special episode & I want your help. Tune in: onwisdompodcast.fireside.fm/66
- Ever heard of the #Wisdom #TuringTest? I thought of creating one for the new #OnWisdom #postcast episode. This is a special episode & I want your help. Tune in: onwisdompodcast.fireside.fm/66
- Research can feel like shouting into the void. I’m deeply grateful that Emma Buchtel, Xu Jingya, & Betul Turel built on our “wise reasoning” work to tackle cultural diversity. They presented a large-scale study proposal at the 2025 @psychscience.bsky.social Global Summit. #culturaldiversity
- Excited to visit colleagues Department of Psychology, University of Copenhagen - first time in Copenhagen! - to talk about (mis)#measurement, and (mis)#construal of #wisdom, incl. #intellectual #humility, #empathy/#perspective-taking, and #openmindedness to diverse viewpoints.
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- If you are @ #SESP2025 in Lisbon and have bold, controversial ideas about psychology/social sciences OR if you want to know more about the process in #Psychological #Inquiry - one of our premier theory journals, please don't be shy - I am around & would love to meet you.
- Reposted by Igor Grossmann, PhDIf your at SESP, check out our symposium on intellectual humility on Saturday!
- Back in Portugal 🇵🇹 for #SESP2025 — and for the first time, #SESP itself is happening in Europe (Lisbon). This Saturday, 3:45–4:45 PM → Room Milão Chairing a symposium on #intellectual #humility in the #wild: #polarization, rural disputes, and #forecasting #societal #progress.
- Back in Portugal 🇵🇹 for #SESP2025 — and for the first time, #SESP itself is happening in Europe (Lisbon). This Saturday, 3:45–4:45 PM → Room Milão Chairing a symposium on #intellectual #humility in the #wild: #polarization, rural disputes, and #forecasting #societal #progress.
- 2 years ago I was critical of our field’s “big intervention mindset:" pre-post studies, no prediction, no generalizability, zero modeling of temporal change. Since then: work on When Expert Predictions Fail , ecological fallacies in claims about “change,” and formal modeling tutorials.
- When science gets misrepresented, trust in science goes down. Good for @jespinosa.bsky.social to call out #misinformation, esp. given how contentious this topic is!
- Reposted by Igor Grossmann, PhD📣 New publication alert! In a large, diverse sample, #CompanionDogs with a history of trauma before 6 months were seen as more fearful and/or aggressive than trauma-free dogs or those with trauma later on in life 🧪 #CanineScience #DogBehaviour #EarlyLifeAdversity doi.org/10.1038/s415...
- Science of #wisdom made it to the @hiddenbrain.bsky.social ! humbled to share some insights w @shankarvedantam.bsky.social and his team - www.patreon.com/HiddenBrain. Wisdom does not have a simple story and isn't a story of a single person. I hope you like it.
- Our paper “The Reasonable, the Rational, and the Good” is finally out in Open Mind 🎉It spent over a year under review at another place—positive reviews + R&R—before getting rejected. Publishing is slow & messy. If you’re going through it, you’re not alone. direct.mit.edu/opmi/article...
- Our recent work (which came out in Proceedings B doi.org/10.1098/rspb...) featured in @nautil.us. Can I Give You Some Advice? nautil.us/can-i-give-y...