Rafa Lopes
Researcher on drivers of epidemic dynamics
Postdoc at @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social & @colincarlson.bsky.social labs
PhD in Physics
Opinions are my own.
DEFENSOR DO SUS!
- Reposted by Rafa LopesAnother Friday come and gone, and NSF hasn't paid us. At this point there's only one thing to do: @athleticbrewingco.bsky.social hello...
- Nossa fico imaginando o que aconteceu três anos atrás pra isso estar acontencendo?
- Reposted by Rafa LopesThe latest from Anthropic: using Anthropic's products makes you worse at your job
- Scientific writing is the art of saying nothing by writing everything
- Reposted by Rafa LopesWe are excited to announce that Doctor Mike Varshavski — the most popular doctor in the world with over 30 million followers — will be joining Dean @meganranney.bsky.social for a fireside chat on Feb 10. This event is open to members of the Yale community only. Register now: m.yale.edu/dfgk.
- Reposted by Rafa LopesA new report from researchers at the Yale School of Public Health warns that the U.S. government’s abrupt cancellation of funding for mRNA vaccine research could have devastating health and economic consequences for the nation.
- One of the nicest thing of life is to learn that you aren’t guilty of breaking something. It was just a bad design. I think I have broken more scissors than glass in my life, but I just learned that those modern ✂️ with plastic handles are really prompt to break!
- Sometimes I get impressed by how good some scientist are understand certain phenomenon. Bjerknes understood the connection of El Niño and cold winter in Northern hemisphere (Europe on the paper), in 1966. Without no good model for global circulation, only poor satellites image and a lot of physics.
- Reposted by Rafa Lopes“akin to the idea that if we keep breeding horses to run faster and faster, one of them will give birth to a locomotive” 🧪
- Córy Doctorow with another verbal bullseye: pluralistic.net/2026/01/13/n...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesCóry Doctorow with another verbal bullseye: pluralistic.net/2026/01/13/n...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesIn a new interdisciplinary Yale study, researchers found that SARS-CoV-2 — the virus responsible for COVID-19 — is weakening within the animal kingdom: news.yale.edu/2026/01/09/sars-cov…
- I cannot recommend enough this book. Jonathan Kennedy ties human history to its plagues and basically is one of the best reads I have had in years. With a lot of references he shows that our crises and our thriving as species come from dealing or not with diseases 🦠
- It breaks lazy attempts of telling human history through the lens of the chosen species or that we are in a pace of infinite progress and grounds our history to the real effective struggles. Plagues are a product of inequality, mainly.
- I’m marathoning a tv show that one of the characters got a professor position before me. I think this is personal!
- Why the fuck a place says is walk-in only to put a QR code for the waitlist at the door? Walk-in is meant to you to walk in to be seated, and not to scan a QR code to join the queue and wait
- Jan 9th*
- Gen AI is to put your brain in a jar and think you learned something new because the answer appeared on screen
- Reposted by Rafa Lopes“[P]utting data into GISAID is like dropping it in a mail slot in an unmarked building,” says @colincarlson.bsky.social. “It’s wonderful that there’s so much cool stuff in that building. It would be great if we knew who owned it, or who paid for it, or what they plan to do with it.” #IDsky 🧪
- New year, same old life of trying not to swear to reviewer who's asking of parameters to be reported to a non-parametric test
- I’ve been watching ‘Younger’ and I love the world we’re DT was just a bad joke in a not big tv show
- What a year huh? Captain is Jan 2nd! Ohh shit!
- Some artist pass away, people discovers basic facts about and cancel them because of that. We just have entered the post morten cancel era
- Our pre-print is alive here 👇 Check it out!
Variations in annual dengue intensities are explained by temperature anomalies medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/20…
- Our new work investigates how dengue intensities are explained by temperatures anomalies! To do that we model over than 30 year of dengue incidence globally, conducting a meta regression of models with mediator variables. Temperature anomalies are an explanatory variable to high intensity years!
- Variations in annual dengue intensities are explained by temperature anomalies Our new work led by Abbey Porzucek, @rafalpx.bsky.social, @colincarlson.bsky.social, Dan Weinberger to develop a method to compare relative dengue intensity between years and countries. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesGreat new preprint led by Abbey Porzucek and a bunch of @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social folks, including @rafalpx.bsky.social! I think this "RISc" score is really clever - we can't just answer "this year is the worst yet" every year, but over time, more and more cases are coming from big outbreaks
- Reposted by Rafa LopesNEW!🦠🌡️ : What makes a "dengue year" like 2023-24? It's hard to pin down an answer unless you can homogenize out all the spatial variation and temporal trends. But once you do, the answer is pretty clean: dengue years are hot years. Last one of the year (unless...?) 👉 www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesVariations in annual dengue intensities are explained by temperature anomalies Our new work led by Abbey Porzucek, @rafalpx.bsky.social, @colincarlson.bsky.social, Dan Weinberger to develop a method to compare relative dengue intensity between years and countries. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
- Gente cadê o prefeito de SP? Ahhh é verdade não tem mesmo
- Reposted by Rafa LopesHas anyone applied the the NSF Mid-Career Advancement (MCA) or similar that would be okay with sharing their application with me? I'm looking for examples on how it should be structured and focused for a MCA. Also, I've never applied for an NSF grant... www.nsf.gov/funding/oppo...
- "Eu te registro, simplesmente, no caderno de frustrações deste mundo pois para isto vieste: para a inutilidade de nascer."
- Uma das coisa que não param de me surpreender é incapacidade do clã bolsonaro em fazer merda, se quer conseguem realizar ações ou planos em favor próprio. Bolsonaro, lançou o filho Flávio como candidato a presidente, claramente como um moeda de troca pra apoiar qualquer outro candidato contra Lula
- Invés de só sinalizar isso de modo implicito, valorizando essa candidatura como moeda de troca, a primeira fala do senador é de que ele possa desistir da candidatura como moeda de troca. Ou seja, anunciaram que a candidatura é uma candidatura morta de largada.
- Tornando assim a candidatura como moeda de troca, praticamente sem valor para qualquer moeda de troca. Quem tinha interesse e capitalizar algo do bolsonaro agora basta apontar que a candidatura foi feita como moeda de troca, e simples mostrar ao eleitor que votar em Flávio é rasgar o seu voto
- Simples assim!
- Eu acho maravilhoso como Paramore passou de banda de menina pra banda de tiozão barbudo
- Eu amo Paramore
- Reposted by Rafa Lopes🚨New paper alert!🚨🤩 🧪⚒️Welcome the first filter-feeding pterosaur from Brazil: Bakiribu waridza, from the Araripe Basin!! 🥳 The new species is AWESOME and was discoverd inside a regurgitalite 😱🤍 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesNosso bebê nasceu 🥹 Uma nova espécie de pterossauro do Araripe, encontrada dentro de um vômito fossilizado de dinossauro 🤍. A natureza é linda! Kkk Seja bem-vindo, Bakiribu waridza! Acesse o artigo: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
- Reposted by Rafa LopesHappy There Is A Circulatory System Walking Through The Kitchen Day to all who celebrate.
- Reposted by Rafa LopesDo you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp.... genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
- Reposted by Rafa LopesOn Oct 1, 2025, GISAID informed us that they had ended updates to the flat file of SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences and associated metadata that we had used to update Nextstrain analyses since Feb 2020. GISAID's stated rationale was that their "resources are limited". 1/5
- One man innocently enters Blake's exhibition Now he has looked into the eyes Urizen Poor man, never again unenlightened
- Pior que a chacina promovida pelo estado do RJ, é ter que aguentar o mesmo "especialista" em todos os veículos de imprensa falando a mesma asneira que levou o país a olhar pra crime do pior modo possível. Faz 20 anos que o cara vem dando opinião e faz 20 anos que nada é resolvido seguindo ele
- Reposted by Rafa Lopesjust in time for #batweek --Phylogenetic and ML analyses show that viral epidemic potential is not uniform among bats: virulence, transmissibility, and death burden cluster within distinct clades.🦇@carolinecummings.bsky.social @colincarlson.bsky.social @viralemergence.org go.sn.pub/acnbg1
- Reposted by Rafa LopesPOV: Você é defensor ferrenho da cultura e da Lei Rouanet A Rouanet, além de incentivar a cultura, é um importante mecanismo de desenvolvimento social. Inúmeros projetos artísticos não seriam viáveis sem o apoio da principal e mais duradoura política cultural do país.
