David Coletto
Founder & CEO of Canada’s most sought-after and influential polling firm, Abacus Data.
Prof at Carleton University.
Davidcoletto.substack.com
🚴♂️🎾🏔️📈📊
- Canadians agree on the root problem: not enough homes are being built. 74% say supply is the issue. New poll for the Canadian Home Builders Association shows the public wants delivery, not announcements. abacusdata.ca/unlocking-h...
- Satisfaction with government action on housing is stuck around 20% across every level. New poll for the Canadian Home Builders Association shows Canadians expect Ottawa to lead but think it’s falling short. abacusdata.ca/unlocking-h...
- The housing system isn’t working for the middle class. 86% agree the crisis affects middle-income Canadians too. New poll for the Canadian Home Builders Association shows just how widespread the frustration is. abacusdata.ca/unlocking-h...
- 70% of non-homeowners still want to buy a home, yet only 29% are confident they’ll ever get the chance. New poll for the Canadian Home Builders Association shows the gap is reshaping politics. Full findings: abacusdata.ca/unlocking-h...
- Canadians still want to own a home but most don’t believe they ever will. New poll for the Canadian Home Builders Association shows housing has become a crisis of confidence. Read more: abacusdata.ca/unlocking-h...
- Two decades after Harper ended more than a decade of Liberal rule, his legacy is back in focus this week in Ottawa. I wrote this to understand where Canadians place him now: how much trust does Stephen Harper still command? open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- As Conservatives gather in Ottawa to mark 20 years since Stephen Harper’s 2006 victory, I wanted to take a closer look at the legacy he left behind. This piece asks a simple question: do Canadians still trust Harper today? open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- Twenty years after Stephen Harper’s 2006 breakthrough, Conservatives are gathering in Ottawa to reflect on a legacy that still shapes Canadian politics. I wrote this piece to explore one question: how much do Canadians still trust Harper today? open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- The latest from my data lab: The real political challenge for Carney’s opponents is that Canadians already sense the rupture he describes. The debate may be most about how Canada should respond, and who trusts his approach. Read more: open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- Poilievre easily passed his leadership review with 87.4%. The bigger question is electoral: can the Conservatives break through their ceiling and build a coalition large and efficient enough to win? My latest for Hub Canada. thehub.ca/2026/02/02/...
- With 87.4% support at convention, Poilievre’s grip on the party is clear. What’s not clear is whether his coalition can grow beyond its strong base to win the seats that matter. New analysis for Hub Canada. thehub.ca/2026/02/02/...
- Reposted by David Coletto[Not loaded yet]
- Elections in Canada are rarely decided by one issue alone. They come down to coalition math, turnout, and a small pool of persuadable voters in key ridings. New analysis using Abacus Data polling (Jan 12–16, n=2,008). thehub.ca/2026/02/02/...
- Pierre Poilievre cleared the leadership bar with 87.4% at convention. The real test now is whether his coalition can expand enough, in the right regions, to actually win the next election. My latest for Hub Canada. thehub.ca/2026/02/02/...
- Interest is strongest among younger Canadians and in Quebec, and weaker in Alberta, mirroring broader EV openness. The takeaway is clear: Canadians want electric vehicles they can afford now, and the market is moving faster than policy More: cleanenergycanada.org/poll-35-of-...
- Chinese EVs are coming to Canada, and Canadians are more open than many might expect. Our new poll with Clean Energy Canada finds 35% would consider buying a Chinese-made electric vehicle, and among those open to EVs overall, interest is even higher cleanenergycanada.org/poll-35-of-...
- Thanks for having me on your show today @rosiebarton.bsky.social (even as my hotel phone rings while live on the air!) youtu.be/TonSmzdclsQ?...
- Perceptions of quality are shifting. Half of Canadians see Chinese EVs as similar or even superior to what’s sold here today, while only 21% believe they are inferior. For many, the bigger question is affordability and access, not performance cleanenergycanada.org/poll-35-of-...
- Tune in this AM on CBC News as I join Rosemary Barton on her show around 10:30am ET with @ericgrenier.bsky.social
- My latest Toronto Star op-ed examines why Poilievre’s biggest obstacle may be his own political brand, popular with core supporters but a tougher sell to everyone else. Read it here: www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- New Abacus Data poll: Rising approval for Mark Carney and his government coincides with growing Liberal support, reshaping the political landscape ahead of a key Conservative convention. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: Gender and education gaps remain central to Canadian politics, with Liberals now leading by 12 points among women and holding their largest advantage among university educated voters. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: Pierre Poilievre’s impressions have stabilized after recent softening, rebounding closer to where they have been since the start of the year, but remaining net negative overall. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: Carney is at his strongest point yet, the government is gaining broader cross partisan approval, and the Liberals are now ahead nationally. LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 8% abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: Pierre Poilievre’s personal ratings have recovered from recent declines, returning to early-year levels, though his overall impression remains net negative. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: As global uncertainty rises, Carney’s standing strengthens, the government gains approval, and the Liberals open up a national lead over the Conservatives. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: With Carney’s approval at a new high, government approval rising, and Liberal vote share improving, the political environment is tilting in the Liberals’ favour at a pivotal moment. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- I have a new piece in the Toronto Star looking at the tension inside today’s Conservative coalition: stay the course with confrontation, or shift tone and priorities to win over accessible voters. Read it here: www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- New Abacus Data poll: Mark Carney’s personal standing is at a record high, government approval has climbed to 54 percent, and the Liberals now lead nationally as Conservatives head into a leadership review. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data #cdnpoli poll: Liberal 43% Conservative 39% NDP 8% BQ 6% More: abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- New Abacus Data poll: At 36 percent, the share of Canadians who believe the Liberals deserve to be re-elected is at its highest level since Abacus Data began tracking this measure. abacusdata.ca/prime-minis...
- Shared a few thoughts on CBC's The National last night. Thanks Kate McKenna! Poilievre looks for another chance as leader after string of defeats youtu.be/oZtWdwcs6Zs?...
- New Abacus Data poll: As Conservatives prepare to review Pierre Poilievre’s leadership, Liberal momentum is building, with the party now leading nationally at 43 percent to 39 percent. abacusdata.ca/new-abacus-...
- New Abacus Data poll: Approval of the federal government has climbed to 54 percent, one of its strongest readings since the pandemic, with one in five Conservative supporters approving of its performance. abacusdata.ca/new-abacus-...
- New Abacus Data poll: Prime Minister Mark Carney’s personal standing has reached its highest level yet, with a net favourable rating of +23 and net positive approval across every region. abacusdata.ca/new-abacus-...
- We tested reactions not just to campaign messaging, but even to something as basic as official photos. The results are interesting, but also a reminder of how fluid early impressions can be before voters really meet the candidates. open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- The membership sales cutoff passed January 28. Now the NDP leadership contest shifts from signing people up to mobilizing and persuading those already in the fold. That change matters for who wins and what comes next. open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- In a new Toronto Star op-ed, I dig into fresh Abacus Data polling showing Poilievre’s real test isn’t surviving a leadership review, it’s expanding his reach without alienating his base. Read it here: www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- Canadians seem most drawn to a pragmatic NDP focused on achievable gains and broadening its appeal. ButNDP supporters are more divided, and leadership races are decided internally, not by the wider public. New analysis here. open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- The NDP will choose a new leader in March, but with low name recognition, early polling is less about predicting a winner and more about testing what kind of approach Canadians want from the party. My latest piece explores what we can and can’t learn right now. open.substack.com/pub/davidco...
- My new op-ed in the Toronto Star explores the “ceiling problem” for Conservatives: strong internal unity, but weaker appeal among the small pool of voters still open to considering the party. Read it here: www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- I wrote a new op-ed in the Toronto Star about the core challenge Pierre Poilievre faces right now: he has his base locked down, but the traits that energize it may be limiting his ability to grow beyond it. Read it here: www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- Pierre Poilievre doesn't look in danger with his base. The real question is whether what works inside the Conservative coalition is also what’s holding him back outside of it. My latest in the Toronto Star. www.thestar.com/opinion/con...
- My latest op-ed in the Toronto Star www.thestar.com/opinion/cont...
- We’ve entered the permacrisis era: disruptions don’t arrive one at a time anymore, they stack. Canadians have adapted, but that doesn’t mean they feel stable. Precarity is the mood of 2026. davidcoletto.substack.com/p/canadians...
- In the third installment of our deep dive into the Conservative Party, we asked the “Trump question.” Nationally, 41% say Poilievre is “a lot like Donald Trump.” Among non-Conservatives: 52%. Among accessible Conservatives: 31%. This is a real electability problem. abacusdata.ca/canadians-s...
- In a permacrisis world, spending is becoming a coping mechanism. Not because people feel rich, but because buying decisions are one of the last places Canadians still feel control. This is consumer behaviour as agency. davidcoletto.substack.com/p/canadians...
- This week, Sean, Amanda and I get into the domestic political implications of Carney’s Davos speech, from narrative to policy substance, and what’s happening inside Pierre Poilievre’s coalition based on new polling. Have a listen. youtu.be/1G6du9z6pY0...
- More data from our deep dive on Conservstive Party opinions with the Toronto Star www.thestar.com/politics/fed...
- The Canadian consumer feels contradictory right now: Cautious but still spending. Cutting back but still splurging. Complaining about affordability but chasing meaning + experiences. Precarity explains it. davidcoletto.substack.com/p/canadians...
- This week, Sean, Amanda and I debate whether Canadians will connect with Carney’s Davos framing of a more chaotic world, and whether the government is backing it up with enough concrete policy. We also unpack what the latest numbers say about the Conservatives. youtu.be/1G6du9z6pY0...
