Charlie McCurdy
Economist @ resolution foundation covering jobs, demographic change and regional inequalities.
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- New net migration figures show that international net-migration falls to 204k (like 2000s average). Partly reflects ONS revisions to how they calculate the figure. This is a big difference compared to the latest ONS projections, which don't forecast impact of policy or use the latest data.
- Today’s data show that a weakening jobs market is feeding through into pay. Depressing stat of the day: real weekly wages have increased by just £1.50 since Sep 2024. Here is our thread (from me and @hannahslaughter.bsky.social).
- The number of payrolled employees has remained steady in recent months, after falling by 127,000 between Oct 2024 and June 2025. Employee jobs rose marginally (by 10k) in August and early estimates suggest they fell back by about the same amount in September.
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- New ONS population data covering England and Wales up to the middle of 2024. Killer chart from @georginasturge.bsky.social shows population growth has been going gangbusters in recent years, growing at a higher rate than any period since the World Wars. More below👇
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- New ONS estimates of families and household types for 2024 today (caveat: it's based on LFS that despite improvements remains a bit shakey). Some interesting takeaways below... www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
- Today’s labour market stats shows that the jobs market is continuing to weaken, with signs that pay growth may also be slowing. Our take below (h/t @nyecominetti.bsky.social)
