Dan Cassino
Political scientist at FDU, Executive Director of the FDU Poll, studying masculinities and research methods.
- Let us suppose that a public figure who abhors racism- as he frequently says- posted a video including racist imagery because he didn’t watch the video. In that case, would we not expect a quick denunciation and apology? And in the absence of such, could we not assume he was ok with that imagery?
- The underlying story of the last ten years of NJ politics has been the declining power of the once omnipotent county parties. Regardless of who winds up winning in NJ11, the power they once had to pick candidates in high profile elections is in terminal decline.
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- In a low information election, name recognition is king.
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- Malinowski leading in Essex makes it real tough to see how Gill or Mejia can win.
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- Montclair turnout is going to be more than 10% of the entire district in the NJ11 special, which is wild, and probably good news for Gill.
- The real question was never, “Why aren’t women buying crypto?” but “Why in the world were men buying it?”
- My book on Bitcoin Bros is out next week, so if Bitcoin could avoid going to zero for another few days, I would appreciate it.
- In NJ11 special election, turnout as of noon is ~35K, probably looking for a total of ~50K before close of polls. Essex is putting in about 2000 more ballots than Morris, and that margin has been increasing.
- As of noon, Essex is significantly outpacing Morris in Election Day voting- about 5,000 to 4,000, and Montclair has more EDay voters than any other municipality in the district. That’s probably bad news for Malinowski, who’s more reliant on Morris support.
- Of the candidates outside of the top tier in the NJ11 race, I found Croft to be the most impressive on the stump. She’s been doing a great job of channeling grass roots anger at Trump while not coming off as angry. Appeals to her role as a mom help with a traditional gender story.
- I’m not at all convinced that their preferred candidate, Lt Gov Way, will be the beneficiary of all the attacks on Malinowski. If anything, they’re likely to split the centrist vote and benefit the lead progressive candidate, Mejia.
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- Reposted by Dan CassinoCrazy story: A bank analyst published a report showing Kalshi users lose money even faster than sports gamblers, so Kalshi first tried to pressure the data provider to change their data and then accused them and the analyst of conspiring to extort them when that doesn’t work.
- Talked to the NJ Monitor about that actual live caller push poll we got in NJ-11 last week. newjerseymonitor.com/2026/02/04/o...
- Reposted by Dan CassinoHet is woensdag.
- Reposted by Dan CassinoFools spending their time hemming and hawing over whether or not there were Black people in the Trojan War instead of speculating on whether or not Nolan's movie ends ends with Matt Damon getting killed by a stingray spear and his sons marrying each others' moms
- This is made worse by the extent to which platforms use their BTC holdings as reserves and leverage. It’s a house of cards. BTC drops too much, everything goes down with it.
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- Psst… they mean New Jersey, not New York.
- Reposted by Dan CassinoCALL FOR EDITOR - @jepsjournal.bsky.social seeks an editor or editorial team with a commitment to publishing articles that represent the substantive and methodological diversity of experimental work in the discipline. cup.org/4ae3Tul cc @apsa.bsky.social @experimentsapsa.bsky.social
- Here ya go! www.kickstarter.com/projects/rif...
