Carnegie Democracy
The Democracy, Conflict, and Governance Program at the Carnegie Endowment conducts independent analysis on global policy, polarization, tech, equality & more.
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carnegieendowment.org/programs/democracy-…
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- 🔊How does a regime switch off the Internet? Can blackouts backfire on dictators? What are the warning signs for citizens of rising digital repression in their own country? @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social joins @lizzieohreally.bsky.social on @slate.com's What Next: TBD podcast⤵️
- 🆕Can street protests—like those in Minneapolis—actually slow democratic erosion? @saskiabr.bsky.social lays out the 3 features of impactful protest: nonviolence, broad coalitions, and long-term, institutional action. Today for @foreignpolicy.com ⤵️
- Over the past 20 years, digital repression has spread dramatically, as shown in 2 maps by @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social In 2004 (left), countries with above-average levels of digital repression were clustered in a belt. By 2024 (right) digital repression had spread and worsened.🧵⤵️
- Oil revenues can restart Venezuela’s economy—but without transparency, rule of law, and political reform, they could also freeze repression in place. Economic recovery needs a democratic horizon, @jennifermccoy.bsky.social writes for @carnegieendowment.org ⬇️
- 🆕"Africa’s democratic landscape defies a single story of systemic backsliding or reform—and instead is best understood as a collection of diverging and still unsettled trajectories." @saskiabr.bsky.social and Frances Brown identify four governance trends to watch for in Africa this year⤵️
- "If Europe is as serious about preventing Ukraine’s defeat as it now appears to be, a coordinated long-term strategy will do more to help Kyiv...than its current practice of lurching from one aid package to another." Read the latest from @sophiabesch.bsky.social 🔽
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- 🆕To move Venezuela toward power sharing and real democracy, immediate steps are necessary: 👉Release political prisoners 👉Repeal laws restricting dissent 👉Deauthorize colectivos @jennifermccoy.bsky.social outlines the process and roadblocks for @carnegieendowment.org
- 🆕There’s a moral and political line between acting against a corrupt autocrat and threatening a functioning democracy. Treating Colombia like Venezuela erodes democratic incentives, write Sarah Yerkes and Amr Hamzawy for @carnegieendowment.org 👇
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- The Trump administration presents its policy as a sharp break with the past. But to usher in peace between Israelis and Palestinians, recent history may be the best guide forward. Sarah Yerkes writes with Amr Hamzawy and Kathryn Selfe for @foreignaffairs.com⬇️
- "Trump’s targeting of allies isn’t accidental; it’s a deliberate strategy." So how are countries like Canada responding? @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social, @sophiabesch.bsky.social, Stewart Patrick and Alicia Wanless dissect Mark Carney’s #Davos2026 speech for @carnegieendowment.org Read here⤵️
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- 🆕Iran's internet has been shut down since Jan 8. Reports suggest thousands have been killed. New for @thebulletin.org, @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social and Shreya Joshi analyze digital repression in Iran and beyond, as well as how activists fight back ⏬ thebulletin.org/2026/01/iran...
- Pres. Trump's recent National Security Strategy marked a stunning departure from conventional strategy, particularly around democracy. DCG scholars joined other @carnegieendowment.org experts in reacting to the new NSS. Their takes in thread 🧵⏬
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- At #Davos2026, Trump touted Venezuelan "cooperation," saying the country will "make more money in the next 6 months than in the past 20 years." But @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social and @alsfeinberg.bsky.social note that similar "fiscal receivership" models have failed before⤵️
- After 25 years of negotiations, the EU signed a trade deal with the South American customs union Mercosur. @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social writes for @foreignpolicy.com that as the U.S. pursues gunboat diplomacy, Europe and South America are choosing cooperation.
- Check out McKenzie's full article with Thomas Carothers here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
- 🆕Will voters punish President Trump for undemocratic actions? Research suggests not, writes @saskiabr.bsky.social for Democracy Without Exception. In polarized contexts, voters rarely cross partisan divides to rebuke autocratic policy. Instead, pro-democracy advocates need new coalitions⬇️
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- 🆕Washington wants to manage Venezuela’s oil reserves. That experiment was tried in Latin America and the Caribbean before—by Theodore Roosevelt. It failed by the 1930s. @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social and @alsfeinberg.bsky.social lay out the history of U.S. fiscal receivership @carnegieendowment.org⏬
- "With startling determination and decisiveness, the second Trump administration has rapidly dismantled the long run of progress on U.S. anti-corruption policy." What has been lost? McKenzie Carrier and Thomas Carothers catalog these policy reversals for @carnegieendowment.org ⤵️
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- After U.S. interventions in Venezuela, "Even countries that cooperate closely with the U.S., such as Colombia and Mexico, can no longer take their sovereignty for granted" writes @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social for Time How are countries hedging in this new dynamic? ⬇️
- 🔊Trust in wartime is not about shared values or moral approval, but about survival and predictability when every option is risky. On the TrustTalk podcast, @mararevkin.bsky.social discusses state collapse, wartime authority, and post-conflict justice⏬
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- 10 case studies: ‼️5 democracies facing serious new pressures ‼️5 countries in the thick of significant anti-authoritarian or pro-democratic ferment What do they reveal about democracy in 2026? Thomas Carothers & McKenzie Carrier for @carnegieendowment.org
- 🆕As democratic erosion continues, every 1 in 4 countries is experiencing a backlash against gender equality. For @foreignaffairs.com, @saskiabr.bsky.social argues that advocates need new strategies: multilateral innovation, engaging men, and new messaging⤵️
- 🆕The Trump administration is erasing domestic and international anti-corruption policies put in place by previous presidencies. For @carnegieendowment.org, McKenzie Carrier and Thomas Carothers track these regressions⤵️
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- Trump’s toppling of Maduro is the first time that the U.S. has launched overt military strikes aimed at regime change in South America. @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social explains how other Latin American governments have responded to the strikes and their aftermath for @foreignpolicy.com ⬇️
- 🆕Will 2026 bring global democratic backsliding or renewal? In a new @carnegieendowment.org Emissary, Thomas Carothers and McKenzie Carrier map 10 pivotal cases—from the U.S. to Bangladesh—that could reveal the trajectory of global democracy next year👇
- 🆕South Sudan is one of the most fragile states—but that fragility varies subnationally @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social and @mararevkin.bsky.social led a Duke University team to create the Fragility Index, mapping this variation Their @iom.int report shows how this novel index can inform recovery⤵️
- 🗣️Was 2025 the year of protest? Why are protests becoming more common? Can we call Gen Z protests a global movement? @markleongoldberg.bsky.social interviewed Thomas Carothers on the Global Dispatches podcast about protest trends in 2025
- Chile elected José Antonio Kast in Sunday's presidential runoff, setting up the most conservative government in the Chile's democratic history. Ahead of the runoff, @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social spoke about the growing signs of a rightward shift in Latin America www.instagram.com/reel/DRiJEjz...
- The age of networked, technologically disrupted warfare requires new strategies, innovations and regulations ‼️"The Digital in War: From Innovation to Participation" series from @carnegieendowment.org & @forsvarshogskolan.bsky.social analyses these evolutions 🧵⏬
- 🆕The age of technological disruption in warfare is here. War today is fought with codes, networks, drones, and smartphones—not just soldiers and tanks. @stevenfeldstein.bsky.social and @warmatters.bsky.social introduce these battlefield paradigm shifts for @carnegieendowment.org ⤵️