Bryan Norcross
Hurricane Specialist for Fox Weather based in Miami
- REFLECTING ON HURRICANE SEASON 2025. Big questions remain. We see the catastrophic consequences of Hurricane Melissa. But in the final analysis, was it the strongest landfall? Google's AI model triumphed. What more is coming? And how weird was it not to have a US landfall? More at HurricaneIntel.com
- There's a decent chance that HURRICANE SEASON 2025 IS OVER. Hostile upper winds are increasingly dominating the tropics. If this is it, the season ends with near normal numbers EXCEPT for 3 Category 5's including Melissa, which was stunningly and tragically off the charts. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- FRIDAY TROPICS: Hurricane #Melissa whipped by Bermuda last night. Sustained winds peaked at about 83 mph with gusts over 100 mph at Dockyard Point on the north side of the island. With Melissa gone, the tropics look look quiet into mid November, at least. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- #MELISSA UPDATE: The only good news from Melissa's assault is that Kingston, Jamaica was only swiped, so it can act as a base for the massive recovery effort to come in that country. Help is needed. Tonight, the hurricane will punch at Bermuda as it accelerates by. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- MELISSA UPDATE: Hurricane #Melissa was rated as a 185 mph Cat 5 at landfall based on data from the Hurricane Hunters. But computer analysis put it at 215 mph. All the data will be examined by the NHC. The result will be interesting. On alert in the SE Bahamas today! More at HurricaneIntel.com
- MELISSA UPDATE: Landfall at or near Cat 5 at around 8 AM local time/9 AM ET tomorrow. Hurricane Hunters measured winds to 240+ mph at ~1,000 feet. It's critical that everyone find as strong a building as possible to hide from the wind above flood waters and storm surge. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- MELISSA UPDATE: #Melissa exploded into a Cat 4, but for now the intensification has leveled off. The intensification isn't as important as the size, however, as to how many people are impacted. Jamaica's capital Kingston is very vulnerable to storms coming from the south. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- MELISSA UPDATE: #Melissa is on the cusp of hurricane strength. Rapid intensification is forecast with the storm near Cat 5 Monday night south of Jamaica. A catastrophic event is possible from extreme wind, feet of rain, and up to 10 feet of storm surge. It begins late tonight. HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: A shift in the forecast for #Melissa over the weekend raises hope that the strongest winds will stay offshore of Jamaica, with increasing odds of a direct hit over the western end tip next week. In any case, days of heavy rain in Jamaica, Haiti, and the DR. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- LIVE HURRICANE Q&A TODAY at 4 PM ET with me and the director of the National Hurricane Center Dr. Mike Brennan. Join us live on YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, X, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Send in your questions on Melissa or anything tropical on your mind. See you LIVE at 4 PM TODAY!
- #MELISSA UPDATE: Potential for catastrophic impacts in the Caribbean. The forecast is reaching some clarity. Melissa looks likely to track over or near Jamaica while strengthening dramatically Sun-Tue. Outer bands will continue to impact Haiti, the DR, & Puerto Rico. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: There is a reasonably strong consensus that Tropical Storm #Melissa will turn north next week between Mon and Thu. The longer it waits, the stronger and farther west the impacts will likely be. A Cat 3-5 is possible and devastating flooding. Stay informed. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: On the cusp of Tropical Storm #Melissa. Computer forecasts offer a variety of possibilities. The FOX Weather Tropical Threat analysis shows the uncertainty into next week. Extreme rainfall is likely on the mountainous islands near where Melissa stalls. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: It looks likely that Tropical Storm #Melissa will form in the Caribbean. If the system organizes in the next couple days, the consensus of the computer forecasts is that it will quickly turn north toward Haiti and the DR. Otherwise it looks likely to drift. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The robust disturbance tagged Invest #98L is pushing into the Caribbean. Squalls with heavy rain will continue into tomorrow on the affected islands. The system stalls about Wed and forecasts diverge. Stay informed in Puerto Rico & surrounding islands. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The Atlantic Tropical Disturbance will cross into the southeast Caribbean tomorrow into Monday bringing gusty winds and heavy rain to the affected islands. We'll watch for slow development next week, but it's complicated. And 75 years since Hurricane King. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The disturbance in the tropical Atlantic will have higher odds of development next week. Two scenarios look likely if it develops. It lingers in the Caribbean, or it gets scooped north by the jet stream. Plan to stay aware next week in PR and the islands. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: Long-range computer forecasts still show the possibility that the Tropical Disturbance in the eastern Atlantic will develop in the central or southern Caribbean in about 8 or 9 days. The odds of a threat to land over the next 10 days are very low. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The Tropical Disturbance near Africa is slowly making its way toward the Caribbean. Significant development is not expected before it reaches the islands early next week. Odd are in the low range that the system will develop late week, but its possible. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The weather pattern is taking on a wintertime look with strong low-pressure systems dipping south into the tropics creating hostile conditions. But long-range forecasts say that a disturbance off Africa still could organize in the Caribbean next week. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- STORM & TROPICS UPDATE: The coastal water levels will still peak exceptionally high during the high tide cycle this afternoon from NC to New England. Lower peaks overnight. Lorenzo formed, but isn't a problem. A disturbance to watch for next week is just off Africa. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- NOR'EASTER & TROPICS UPDATE: The nor'easter will maximize its impact from VA to the Northeast today & the Northeast to New England tomorrow. Major to moderate flooding along the entire coast and in inland waterways. And something new coming off Africa in the tropics. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- STORM UPDATE: The #CoastalStorm / Fall #Nor'easter is forming near Florida and will strengthen as it moves north. Effects peak in the South today then the peak wind & coastal flooding impacts from the Mid-Atlantic to New England tomorrow and Monday. Stay aware. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- STORM UPDATE: A coastal storm forming over Florida will strengthen as it moves north. Impacts peak today in the Southeast, tomorrow night in eastern NC, and Sunday and Monday from the Mid-Atlantic to New England. Major flooding & wind damage along the coast are possible. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- LIVE HURRICANE Q&A TODAY at 4PM ET. Join me and FOX Weather Storm Specialist Mike Seidel LIVE on YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, X, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Send in your questions about hurricanes, the forecast big coastal storm, or whatever's on your mind. See you then!
- TROPICS & COASTAL STORM UPDATE: #Jerry to brush the northeast Caribbean islands today. Heavy rain possible after the storm passes from the moisture tail. And a major non-tropical East Coast storm begins Saturday. Major coastal flooding & damaging wind possible. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: Tropical Storm #Jerry is struggling against some hostile upper winds but is still expected to be a hurricane over or near the northeast Caribbean late tomorrow and Friday. And watching for a nasty coastal storm to affect the Southeast to New England. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Jerry looks likely to soon form and reach the vicinity of the northeast Caribbean Thurs. The computer forecasts show a variety of intensities, but mostly not a rapidly intensifying storm. And a potentially bad coastal storm for the East Coast this weekend. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The broad Atlantic disturbance is showing some signs of developing but thunderstorms are still disorganized. Computer forecasts agree that the system will be near the northeast Caribbean Thu or Fri, but they don't agree how strong it will be. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The Atlantic disturbance - tagged Invest 95L by the NHC - has a high chance of developing into at least a depression. The consensus of the computer forecasts is that the system will be in the vicinity of the northeast Caribbean Thu or Fri. Stay informed. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The broad disorganized disturbance over the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of developing into at least a depression next week. There is a strong consensus that it will be near the northeastern Caribbean at the end of the week But how strong? More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: There are 2 areas to watch on the board, but the one near Africa is the most interesting. The system is generally forecast to be in vicinity of the Caribbean islands next Thursday if it develops. The Bahamas low is non-tropical and tied to a front for now. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- LIVE Q&A TODAY at 4 PM ET. I'll be joined by Senior Research Scientist at Google DeepMind Ferran Alet. We'll talk about the new amazing and surprising Google DeepMind AI hurricane model. We'll be LIVE on YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, X, Instagram, and LinkIn. Looking forward to your questions!!
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Imelda is quickly pulling away from Bermuda after lashing the inland overnight. Reports this morning are good. The NHC has two new areas to watch in the Atlantic, and the FOX Weather Tropical Threat analysis shows low odds in the Gulf. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- HURRICANE #IMELDA TO IMPACT BERMUDA TODAY: Hurricane #Humberto is in the process of being absorbed by the jet stream and a front. Meanwhile, Imelda is barreling toward Bermuda. The weather will deteriorate this afternoon with the center passing late evening. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Imelda is now a hurricane and is turning out to sea. Dangerous surf and rip currents from both Imelda and Hurricane #Humberto will impact the US East Coast. Use caution at the beach. Hurricane Watch for Bermuda for Imelda. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Imelda is strengthening but far enough offshore to only produce edge effects on the U.S. coast. Powerful #Humberto has moved into the neighborhood and will pull Imelda away from Florida tomorrow but generate huge swells on the entire East Coast. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- MIDDAY SUNDAY VIDEO TROPICS UPDATE: Good news on the future track of what's the forecast to be Tropical Storm Imelda. It is no longer forecast to approach the Carolina coast. Impacts still possible along the Florida coast and in the Southeast, however. youtu.be/EPy0O921CWk
- TROPICS UPDATE: There is high confidence that eventual #Imelda will turn out to sea well before it reaches the Carolinas. Edge effects could impact the Florida coast and rain is likely across the Southeast. Watch for potential flooding - the soil is saturated in a spots. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- VIDEO TROPICS UPDATE: Tropical Depression Nine as formed. It's forecast to become.Tropical Storm Imelda as it moves north off the Florida coast. Here's the latest. youtu.be/WXMemS1oPhA
- TROPICS UPDATE: The disturbance tagged Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is showing signs of organization. It is likely to become #Imelda, track north off the Florida coast to near South Carolina, and stall about Tuesday. Then there's a fork in the road and uncertainty. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: The Tropical Disturbance #94L is expected to become #Imelda as it heads north over the weekend. As it approaches the Southeast coast Mon/Tue, the track becomes less certain. Is #Humberto nearby to slow it, loop it, or pull it out to sea? It's a close call. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- LIVE HURRICANE Q&A TODAY AT 4PM ET. Join me along with Paul Dellegatto from FOX13 in Tampa Bay to talk about what's going on in the tropics today and the potential US threat... plus we'll look back a year on Hurricane Helene. LIVE on YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, X, Insta, & LinkedIn.
- TROPICS UPDATE: The consensus of the latest computer forecasts shows an increased threat to the Southeast coast and the Appalachians. It's not 100% by any means, but the odds have increased of a possible South Florida brush and a track north. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: Odds are high that two storms - Humberto and Imelda - will occupy a tight neighborhood offshore of the Southeast coast next week. It's open question how they will interact or not. Stay well informed. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: Two disturbance get tagged Invests #93L and #94L. 93L appears headed generally toward Bermuda. 94L will bring heavy rain to #PuertoRico and nearby islands and will have to be watched in the Bahamas, Florida, and on the Southeast coast. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: Hurricane #Gabrielle has rapidly intensified but is missing Bermuda. Now Disturbance #2 east of the Caribbean has our attention. There is no computer model agreement, but the uncertain consensus today shows development possible near the Bahamas late week. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Gabrielle can't quite pull itself together to intensify but is forecast to be a hurricane when it passes Bermuda tomorrow. Yet another strong East Coast jet stream dip is now in the long-range forecasts, which should help turn the next disturbance north. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Gabrielle is organizing but still being held back by hostile upper winds. It is still forecast to reach hurricane strength, however, and pass Bermuda just to the east. Long-range forecasts show less potential threat after this week, but we'll watch. More at HurricaneIntel.com
- TROPICS UPDATE: #Gabrielle is still struggling, but the forecast is on track for strengthening. Watching in #Bermuda. A number of long-range forecast show potential development closer to the U.S. at the end of the month. And 70 years since Ione ended a streak. More at HurricaneIntel.com
