i guess where we're at right now is, this regime has figured out that you can't un-kill people, and has seen that they will face no consequences when they do, so they are now focused on increasing militarization and provoking and escalating violence this is obviously an extremely bad development

they were definitely testing vulnerabilities over the past several months but now i think they are both emboldened and impatient killing people avoids lengthy and annoying legal procedures and since nothing happens to them when they kill people, they have no reason to stop doing that

there was that period of time where they seemed stuck, uncertain which direction to go, and they came out of that with a *much* more aggressive and violent posture. the National Guard deployments were largely unresisted and they help sell a "law and order" narrative even as they entice violence

they have also clearly tired of public opposition to ICE raids so rather than dial that back in any way, they are going to amp it up and give ICE agents more latitude to injure and kill these shifts taken together are incredibly disturbing

they are not invincible, and they do suffer defeats and setbacks, but now they're coming back stronger to see if they can overcome all opposition most of the public has really not been activated in any of this... yet but every escalation runs the risk of a broader explosion