avnershlain
- Reposted by avnershlainWhen Israeli supermarkets were forced to adjust prices under a reform, firms learned new strategies and improved—but still priced inefficiently. Research by Avner Strulov-Shlain 🎗️ shows how firms learn from experience. ow.ly/IPYm50XjOT1
- Reposted by avnershlainJust published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Impacts of home-care subsidies: Evidence from quasi-random assignment" By Yuval Ofek-Shanny, @avnershlain.bsky.social, & @dzeltzer.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky #publiceconomics
- ⛽ For an academic study, we (@akraft.bsky.social and I) wish to interview US Gas Station owners to learn more about their business practices. Please share or send anyone you know to Andreas or me. Thanks!
- Reposted by avnershlainWe'll be back at Jimmy's on Tuesday 3/25 and EVERY LAST TUESDAY OF THE MONTH! Come once and you'll come again. @abionsky.bsky.social @williamhjhubbard.bsky.social @avnershlain.bsky.social @dfordon.bsky.social @elderserpiente.bsky.social
- I am very happy to share that I am being promoted to Associate Professor of Marketing at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business. I am incredibly grateful for my family, and for my friends, coauthors, mentors, and colleagues who made it all possible. Excited for the years ahead!
- No wonder retailers ignore left digit bias. Indoctrination against it starts in school! Cc: @justinsydnor.bsky.social @nicolacetera.bsky.social
- An instant hit paper claimed that "Decisions under Risk Are Decisions under Complexity". Re-analysis shows no evidence in support of the claim, and perhaps even the opposite: - The experimental design causes noise to generate the results. - For non-confused participants risk != complexity.
- A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- Reposted by avnershlain🚨 Oprea (2024 AER) argued that prospect theory choice anomalies were not due to risk, but due to complexity-driven mistakes. But this new analysis convinces me that Oprea (2024) is substantially wrong. In my opinion, the paper should be retracted.
- A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN. The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper. The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- In this new working paper we use a real-effort experiment to study the relationship between self-set goals and expectations, and how they affect performance. Do goals affect or reflect expectations? Do goals affect performance, conditional on expectations?
- New working paper, "Goals, Expectations, and Performance," from @avnershlain.bsky.social (Chicago Booth) and Alexandra Steiny Wellsjo. ow.ly/pYSf50UUm9X
- What goals do people choose? Participants typically set goals they expect to hit ~78% of the time. Few choose goals they think are less than 50% likely to be achieved.
- Do goals shape expectations? We find that expectations drive goal-setting. Manipulating expectations changes goals, but tweaking goal difficulty doesn't significantly affect expectations.
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View full threadIn summary: - Higher expectations increase goals (A) and performance (C). - Goals reflect expectations but do not affect them (!B). - Having a goal improves performance (D) but the level does not matter (!E). Check the paper for more details and findings papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- The end of online experiments?
- Just used Gemini Live to participate in a beh. experiment without even reading the instructions or speaking the language. LLMs acting as participants on platforms like Prolific could pollute data meant to study humans. With OpenAI’s operator model, this issue is growing. 🎥👇 youtu.be/NujyGZSA7Hg
- @aleximas.bsky.social referred me to Nightshade (nightshade.cs.uchicago.edu/whatis.html). Basically, if we find a good-for-its-time way to hide the instructions from AI, such as Nightshade, then can proceed.
- As @joshtdean.bsky.social figured out — Nighshade is of no help here.
- in Hebrew we say you are in a state of “emotions storm” or even just “stormed” when having lots of emotions. I am stormed with hope, relief, anxiety, dread, regret, gratitude, anger (to name a few). Welcome back Romi, Emily, and Doron ❤️🩹 twitter.com/haaretznewsv...
- A road-trip inspired research idea, free disposal: Estimate the effect of speed limits on accidents by using interstate roads and difference in states limits. E.g, the I-55 is up to 75mph in AK, 70 in MO and 65 crossing to IL. With good enough data can be quite credible IMO.
- The best kind of Sufganiyot is Beignets. Happy Hanukkah!
- Hotels, venues must disclose “junk fees” to consumers in initial search results Good legislation. The only downside I can think of for consumers is that you can no longer tell yourself (or your spouse) that “it is only $200 a night” when in reality it is $350.
- #econsky Economists: If you ever wondered what is “quantitative marketing” about, @avigoldfarb.bsky.social’s syllabus is a great place to fill in the gap. If you never wondered about it - you can learn about it nonetheless.
- #econsky I agree that PT is descriptive, and complexity is important in driving choice patterns. But I think that the success of PT and behavioral econ is due to more than just explanatory power. These theories resonate. They are not surprising. The intuition brought the theory and evidence. Story:
- My friend’s mom always puts lottery scratch cards in their family xmas stockings. One year his dad found some prank cards. You scratch and for a few short minutes think you won $10K. People got very excited and then very upset. And they were more upset than happy! Losses loom larger than gains.
- This is an anecdote of course, we actually have a lot of evidence consistent with PT and others. But the point is that these theories are good descriptive theories because they capture and distill something we all know is true. And same goes for complexity - we know we get stumped. We need both.
- Reposted by avnershlainWe're looking to hire a Postdoctoral Principal Researcher/Chief Scientist to work with @chicagobooth.bsky.social faculty in the Roman Family Center for Decision Research! Please pass along!
- I’m curious — how many of your Spotify end of the year top5 artists would you get right? If you haven’t checked your summary yet even better - guess first and then check and please let us know!
- ⏰ Deadline approaching ⏰ -- send us your best work on Behavioral IO and Marketing by 12/15 #econsky
- CALL FOR PAPERS 📈📉 The Behavioral IO and Marketing Symposium (biomsymposium.org) will be held on 5/15-16 at UMichigan. This is an opportunity for IO and Quantitative Marketing researchers working on behavioral economics topics to interact. Submit to biom-symposium@umich.edu by *December 15, 2024*.
- Reposted by avnershlainFolks! Our excellent BFI institute at UChicago is on here, give them a follow. They do an excellent podcast (the PIE) and host great conferences/workshops with open call-for-papers.
- A very disturbing logo
- go.bsky.app/NHpEu1g Is there one already? Please message me to be addedat://did:plc:a4szrntxglnqxwmw4bqppc4c/app.bsky.graph.starterpack/3lativ4xhnz2b
- Look at this cute little angle