- 🚨 New working paper alert 🚨 Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴♂️🚴♂️🚴♂️ In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...
- Existing research finds that far-right parties do well in "left-behind" places. We argue that the tour can shape this in two ways: 1- Short boosts in local economy 2- Symbolically through national visibility and recognition.
- On average, being on the Tour route lowers far-right vote share by about 0.03–0.04 SD. In recent elections, the effect exceeds 0.1 SD. This lines up with the surge in far-right support — suggesting the Tour is most effective at shifting newer, less committed voters away from the far right.
- We also find that the effect is largest in poorer municipalities and where the far-right had previous support.
- We find mixed evidence for the economic channel (municipal GDP per capita increases, but no effect on unemployment) and more evidence in support of the symbolic channel (larger decline in far-right voting when a French wins a stage)
- Suggestive evidence from a two-wave survey around the 2025 Tour is also consistent with the symbolic mechanism.
- The results are robust to multiple specifications and tests
- Overall, we argue that short and highly visible place-based interventions can have political consequences, likely by reducing feelings of neglect in left-behind areasSep 16, 2025 10:39