Moritz Marbach
I do research on the role of migration in politics. Associate Professor at UCL. Previously Texas A&M, Immigration Policy Lab and University of Mannheim. moritz-marbach.com
- 🚨New working paper: Compositional Effects, Internal Migration and Electoral Outcomes osf.io/preprints/so... #polisciresearch
- When studying how internal migration affects changes in district-level electoral outcomes, it is important to separate the compositional effect (heterogeneity in political behavior between movers and stayers) from the exposure effect (change in political behavior due to exposure to migration).
- We use Rubin's potential outcomes framework to formally define compositional effects and to decompose the total causal effect of internal migration into exposure effects and compositional effects.
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View full threadWe demonstrate that there is a compositional effect: using survey data, we show that leavers were 18 pp less likely to support the incumbent than stayers. Thus, in constituencies with more out-migration, the incumbent vote share increased.
- Now in print: "The impact of private hosting on the integration of Ukrainian refugees in Germany" with Mathis Herpell, @niklas-harder.bsky.social, @alexandra-orlova.bsky.social, Dominik Hangartner & Jens Hainmueller doi.org/10.1038/s415... @immigrationlab.bsky.social @uclspp.bsky.social
- Short summary in the working paper bsky thread: bsky.app/profile/mori...
- 🚨New paper: The Impact of Private Hosting on the Integration of Ukrainian Refugees 🚨 w/ Mathis Herpell, Niklas Harder, Alexandra Orlova, Dominik Hangartner, Jens Hainmueller osf.io/preprints/so... #polisciresearch #econtwitter
- I have been attending EPSA since 2014, but I’m excited to attend EPSS in Belfast next year instead. Below some clarification how EPSS differs from EPSA.
- 🚨New paper: Does ad hoc language training improve the economic integration of refugees? Evidence from Germany’s response to the Syrian refugee crisis 🚨 w/ Ehsan Vallizadeh, @niklas-harder.bsky.social, Dominik Hangartner, Jens Hainmueller doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
- 1/ Over 1 million refugees arrived in Germany in 2015. When established language training programs ("Integrationskurse") reached capacity, the Federal Employment Agency swiftly launched a new ad hoc program ("Einstiegskurse zur Deutschförderung") to enroll more.
- 2/ We examine the effects of both programs on refugee employment.
- View full thread
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- 🚨New paper: The Impact of Private Hosting on the Integration of Ukrainian Refugees 🚨 w/ Mathis Herpell, Niklas Harder, Alexandra Orlova, Dominik Hangartner, Jens Hainmueller osf.io/preprints/so... #polisciresearch #econtwitter