10 years since the referendum
5 years since brexit
Most of that time under brexiter rule
The OBR’s assessment
1. Long‑term GDP impact ~4% lower (£114B/y)
2. Trade: clearly reduced relative to the counterfactual
3. Migration: composition changed, totals not reduced
obr.uk/forecasts-in...Brexit analysis - Office for Budget Responsibility
Since the announcement of the EU referendum we have been producing analysis and writing about the potential effects of Brexit on the economy and public finances. We have compiled our assumptions, judg...